[News] Late For Work 4/15: Ravens Game-By-Game Predictions

[Minionhunter]

Maybe the NFL will put the game in Baltimore if the Ravens can beat the Bengals at home in the last game. The schedule makers inside joke. My point was that they have a TNF game (bad because of short week) but not SNF (preferable to TNF and MNF games because it is prime time but closest to normal prep and rest) and away MNF (have to travel with the short week instead of staying at home). The Patriots have 1 MNF game home vs the Ravens, and 2 SNF games. I'm not sad about the schedule at all, I would have liked to see AFCN games earlier and playing the Bengals when Burfict was gone (that gifted the Bengals 3rd game [no Burfict] to the steelers as a favor). I still like the schedule this year.

[stixfix69]

  1 hour ago, stixfix69 said:

Jack's medical recheck went great so that is great news.....Of any position player, ILBer is our weakest position right now...I really hope we draft him...

According to CBS news, he had a private workout and ran a 4.56... but didn't see any other drills recorded

At his pro day he ran all the other drills such as the cone drill, which is a huge indicator, as so much torque is but on the knees when cutting so hard.....Very optimistic he will be sound physically. 40 time isnt to shabby, and that's running a straight line...

[WNC-Raven]

1 hour ago, budkretz said:

Do the math. Since the Rams are taking a QB at #1, These five are on the board and one of them has to be available. And all five can really help the Ravens and have big time starter potential (pro-bowl material). You don't seem high on Buckner, but I think he can be a better Chris Canty DE and maybe become Michael McCreary like. They don't have to be HoF material , but they need to be starters and contributors from the get go. I like the d-line rotation of Williams, Jernigan, Guy, Urban, Kapran-Moore and Buckner. That has to be very imposing to our opponents. I will gladly take any of these players at the sixth pick and know the Ravens have improved. The key will be rounds 2-4. out of those 6 choices they need to get 3-4 starters at minimum.

I think you mat have overlooked the work in bold below. It happens.

There is not legitimate chance the Ravens can get the top tackle in the draft or an elite defender. At least two of the following will be on the board when the Ravens are on the clock:

[Minionhunter]

Unless we get Jack or Tunsil (just watch his lateral movement drills - Michael Jackson smooth) (check @RosterWatch twitter) I hope we trade back and get Spence plus more 2&3 round picks to get Listenbee (he has legitimate Olympic speed and good hands).Spence drug use is done and he had the bravery to admit the problem including his reasons for doing it in the first place. They were not cliché and seem genuine. Plus it wasn't weed which seem to be a problem with recent players getting suspensions and not being able to set aside. If that is factored out, then I think he is better than Bosa.

[blackandpurple20]

If Tunsil is there at #6, we will run to the podium. Lateral quickness is unreal.

Edited April 15, 2016 by blackandpurple20

[PurplenBlackFan2392]

We were in virtually every game last year and if we would have had the ability to stretch the field, we would have been far more potent. We had zero downfield game last year which crippled the running attack. If we add a pass rusher and corner in the draft, and can get teams off the field on third downs, we will be far better than anyone will give us credit for. But I like these years as I would rather have everyone say we are pathetic and overproduce than have everyone on the super bowl wagon and every mistake is then magnified. I also feel the schedule favors the Ravens by putting their toughest opponents at the end of the schedule allowing them to get everyone up and running and in sync before facing them. Ravens have always finished strong going into the playoffs and this schedule favors their historical trends.

You have very Positive and Great view Points! which I agree with btw! !00% Just a question how many games you predict we win? win the division? etc. I say yes to my second and at most 12-13 least 11 or 10.your thoughts?

[blakedrinkard]

i wonder why hensley has us being swept by pittsburgh which if we have a healthy team i know we can win atleast 1 of them because yes pitt does have a solid offense but their defense is weak. if we have a solid offense and our defense plays strong with some new pieces, i think we have the possible sweep in our favor. and for years we have had new englands card, we have always played them tough and close games and nobody really knows what the pats are going to look like this year. but all i can say is if we have myles jack and mosley as our LB's then i dont think Gronk will do much against us along with weddle floating around. i call a 14-2 or at worst 13-3 season because i know out players are pissed about last year and have a chip

[BmoreRavensFan4Eva]

Bosa plays like a Raven. I know he didn't run a good 40 but he's never been that fast anyway. His power and variety of pass rush moves make up for his lack of speed. I think he would upgrade the defense immediately. Teams planned against this guy by blocking him with 2 or 3 lineman, and they still couldn't stop him! If Bosa is not available, I think Ramsey would be a great if he's still available because the schedule features good offensive teams that have bonafide receivers. If neither player is available, I would be happy if an offensive lineman is selected.

[ryananth]

  3 hours ago, ellicottraven said:

So Pitta reduced his salary from 5M to 4M and we still save 4M against the cap? How does that math work?

Its a typo I believe. His base salary is now $1M, creating $4M in cap savings.

If we cut him Post-June 1, it would have been $5M in cap savings (with some roll over into 2017), so we are basically paying $1M to see what he's got.

I also believe we're paying a million to free up the $4mil before June 1. Is that correct?

[budkretz]

  2 hours ago, budkretz said:

Do the math. Since the Rams are taking a QB at #1, These five are on the board and one of them has to be available. And all five can really help the Ravens and have big time starter potential (pro-bowl material). You don't seem high on Buckner, but I think he can be a better Chris Canty DE and maybe become Michael McCreary like. They don't have to be HoF material , but they need to be starters and contributors from the get go. I like the d-line rotation of Williams, Jernigan, Guy, Urban, Kapran-Moore and Buckner. That has to be very imposing to our opponents. I will gladly take any of these players at the sixth pick and know the Ravens have improved. The key will be rounds 2-4. out of those 6 choices they need to get 3-4 starters at minimum.

I think you mat have overlooked the work in bold below. It happens.

There is not legitimate chance the Ravens can get the top tackle in the draft or an elite defender. At least two of the following will be on the board when the Ravens are on the clock:

Assuming the 5 mentioned (Ramsey, Bosa, Jack, Tunsil and Buckner) are at the top of the draft and both Rams and Browns take a QB then 2 of the 4 are left. But there's no guarantee that after the Rams a QB will be taken. Cle and Dal have/may have a need and of course there could be other trades which shake things up. But mathematically assuming the Rams take a QB at #1 (and you'd get a million to 1 odds that they don't) then one of those 5 have to be left when the Ravens draft at #6. My point is all 5 have to be at the top of the Ravens board and whichever is left will be a good pick for the Ravens. Ideally I hope Cle takes a QB and Dal takes Elliott because then there would be at least 3 of those left over.

[rmcjacket23]

5 minutes ago, ryananth said:

I also believe we're paying a million to free up the $4mil before June 1. Is that correct?

Correct.

[PurplenBlackFan2392]

i wonder why hensley has us being swept by pittsburgh which if we have a healthy team i know we can win atleast 1 of them because yes pitt does have a solid offense but their defense is weak. if we have a solid offense and our defense plays strong with some new pieces, i think we have the possible sweep in our favor. and for years we have had new englands card, we have always played them tough and close games and nobody really knows what the pats are going to look like this year. but all i can say is if we have myles jack and mosley as our LB's then i dont think Gronk will do much against us along with weddle floating around. i call a 14-2 or at worst 13-3 season because i know out players are pissed about last year and have a chip

Dude Great Prediction!! I also was thinking 13-3 at worst 12-4

[billiejean]

  3 hours ago, RavensDieHard21 said:

"At least two of the following will be on the board when the Ravens are on the clock":
Ole Miss left tackle Laremy Tunsil
Florida State defensive back Jalen Ramsey
Ohio State pass rusher Joey Bosa
UCLA middle linebacker Myles Jack
Oregon defensive end DeForest Buckner

- Not if the Browns get cute and take Ramsey or Jack, but in all reality if Goff goes first then, it would be hard for Hue to pass up a talented prospect like Wentz. If the scenario does happen, we pick the player whose name isn't Deforest Buckner haha

Do the math. Since the Rams are taking a QB at #1, These five are on the board and one of them has to be available. And all five can really help the Ravens and have big time starter potential (pro-bowl material). You don't seem high on Buckner, but I think he can be a better Chris Canty DE and maybe become Michael McCreary like. They don't have to be HoF material , but they need to be starters and contributors from the get go. I like the d-line rotation of Williams, Jernigan, Guy, Urban, Kapran-Moore and Buckner. That has to be very imposing to our opponents. I will gladly take any of these players at the sixth pick and know the Ravens have improved. The key will be rounds 2-4. out of those 6 choices they need to get 3-4 starters at minimum.

Buckner and Mike Mccrary play two totally different positions. They are both DE but one is DE in the 4-3 (Mccrary 6'4 260) and one is a DE in the 3-4 (Buckner 6'7 291)

[steelcityraven]

13-3 or 14-2 are hard to do.. just bc it is hard to stay healthy and we do play in probably the best division in football. I think 11-5 is realistic and possibly even 12-4. (but you never know) I don't know what Hensley was thinking either... he seems to be on that sqeeler bandwagon. They lost 4 of the last 5 to us... we swept this last season (with a JV squad). of course those games could always go either way.. but lately they have been going our way bc... Harbs seems to have Tomlins number!

[steelcityraven]

I'm afraid the Ram's trading for the top pick spurred too much optimism about the #6 pick. I'm almost certain Tunsil, Ramsey and Jack will still be firmly gone by the time we're on the clock - so we'll gonna end up with one oöf the players mocks projected us to take anyway (Buckner, Elliott, Bosa, Stanley or Hargreaves) - or trade back.

So, I don't really think the trade will affect our pick too much.

BIO- you may be right but I wouldn't be surprise if either Bosa or Zeke went before we were on the clock? I think if even 1 of them go... with the 2 QBs - that leaves Jack, Ramsey and Tunsil (one of the three would still have to be there) BTW... I really wouldn't feel like Bosa, Zeke or Buckner was a consolation prize--- anyone of the first three (Ramsey, Jack or Tunsil) would be a grand slam. Anyone of the next three (Bosa, Zeke, or Buckner) would be a home run.

[Crusader]

"into their Week 8 bye with a 6-1 record?" Wow now that's some seriously drinking the Purple Kool-Aid. 10-6? This I got to see. I got Ravens at 7-9. Losing to Pitts after a bye at home? Can't see that.

[bioLarzen]

  3 hours ago, bioLarzen said:

I'm afraid the Ram's trading for the top pick spurred too much optimism about the #6 pick. I'm almost certain Tunsil, Ramsey and Jack will still be firmly gone by the time we're on the clock - so we'll gonna end up with one oöf the players mocks projected us to take anyway (Buckner, Elliott, Bosa, Stanley or Hargreaves) - or trade back.

So, I don't really think the trade will affect our pick too much.

BIO- you may be right but I wouldn't be surprise if either Bosa or Zeke went before we were on the clock? I think if even 1 of them go... with the 2 QBs - that leaves Jack, Ramsey and Tunsil (one of the three would still have to be there) BTW... I really wouldn't feel like Bosa, Zeke or Buckner was a consolation prize--- anyone of the first three (Ramsey, Jack or Tunsil) would be a grand slam. Anyone of the next three (Bosa, Zeke, or Buckner) would be a home run.

Well, that could easily happen, of course - the Cowboys could use a potential franchise RB, for example...

What makes me think we have no real chance of finding Tunsil, Ramsey or Jack on the board when we are on the clock is, that they are way too good players with way too much upside to slide that much - the three or four teams before us will take them even if they won't fill immediate needs there.

But I'll be glad to be proven wrong come draft day ;)

[bioLarzen]

"into their Week 8 bye with a 6-1 record?" Wow now that's some seriously drinking the Purple Kool-Aid. 10-6? This I got to see. I got Ravens at 7-9. Losing to Pitts after a bye at home? Can't see that.

Most of these things are simply impossible to forecast this early anyway. So many things can happen until then...

[Grapple Raven]

At our pick, I would prefer Stanley, Buckner, or Hargreaves/Ramsey, Lawson or Conklin.  I like Tunsil a lot, but his injury history scares the hell out of me.  Jack's knee is worrisome also, a tear in a lateral meniscus is not like a torn ACL, MCL or PCL...with a meniscus you are talking bone on bone.

I take those medical re-checks with a grain of salt because there are a lot of games being played here, lol.  Teams will rely on their own medical staff evaluations anyway and Rapport reported today that some teams he spoke with today in the top ten were satisfied with his progress but a few others had concerns that his knee wasn't recovering fast enough( that sound familiar?), and that he might would require further surgery.   But that knee is worrisome, considering all the injuries we've had in the last few yrs. I would prefer the Ravens stay way from players with major injury concerns as much as that is possible. I realize there are no guarantees with any player but based off our teams injury history of late you have to admit it is relative to the discussion.   I bet that thought has gone through the Ravens minds too.  There is a total of 38 players that have injury concerns in this 2016 draft and a large number with off the field issues too.  Whew, I am glad drafting a player is not on my shoulders particularly this season, lol.

[The Beak]

At our pick, I would prefer Stanley, Buckner, or Hargreaves/Ramsey.  I like Tunsil a lot, but his injury history scares the hell out of me.  Jack's knee is worrisome also, a tear in a lateral meniscus is not like a torn ACL, MCL or PCL...with a meniscus you are talking bone on bone. I take those medical re-checks with a grain of salt because teams will rely on their own medical staff evaluations and there are a lot of games being played here, lol.  Rapport reported today that some teams were satisfied with his progress but a few others had concerns that his knee wasn't recovering fast enough( that sound familiar?), and that he might would require further surgery.   But that knee is worrisome, considering all the injuries we've had in the last few yrs. I would prefer the Ravens stay way from players with major injury concerns as much as that is possible. I bet that thought has gone through the Ravens minds too.  I am glad drafting a player is not on my shoulders, lol.

Are you kidding, Tunsil is an absolute beast, he is heads and shoulders above Stanley, Tunsil would have most likely been the #1 overall pick, IMHO Oz would sprint to the podium to pick Tunsil...

[JimmyBlack]

10 hours ago, PurplenBlackFan2392 said:

I don't agree with Hensley at all on his stance at 10-6 I honestly believe just by looking at the schedule and the players we are getting back + the additions we made in FA and we still have the draft that we Can possibly go by that Pitt game after the bye 7-0. I mean honestly, you have to think that as an organization we have a chip on our shoulder and A lot to Prove to the teams we face before the bye. Especially sense that Jags game last year was cheated* (damn Refs!!) plus that Oakland game was a stunner-could have gone either way.

No way we lose to the Squeelers twice.

[Maryland]

A bit premature to put a "W" next to all of those "bad" teams imo. I bet they, too, are putting a "W" next to our name after last season.

[pcrash5]

@Maryland agreed...everyones putting W's on the Oakland and Jacksonville games....im not so sure, Oakland i feel is going to be a solid team this year. heavy upgrades.

on another note i have to change my profile picture....

Edited April 16, 2016 by pcrash5

[MTRavensFan]

10 minutes ago, pcrash5 said:

@Maryland agreed...everyones putting W's on the Oakland and Jacksonville games....im not so sure, Oakland i feel is going to be a solid team this year. heavy upgrades.

on a another note i have to change my profile picture....

I agree with you, I think Oakland's about to give the Broncos a run for their money in that division this year.

[Grapple Raven]

19 hours ago, The Beak said:

Are you kidding, Tunsil is an absolute beast, he is heads and shoulders above Stanley, Tunsil would have most likely been the #1 overall pick, IMHO Oz would sprint to the podium to pick Tunsil...

He may very well end up being a great player, I am just saying that his injury history is a big concern and in light of that perhaps Stanley would be more durable.  I actually don't see that there is that much difference between Tunsil and Stanley, considering that with Monroe at LT, both would have the opportunity to develop behind him to hone their skills.  When choosing this high in the draft, if you are looking for a LT that can give you 10+ yrs, I am just saying that someone already entering the NFL with that many injuries is a concern to me.  But compare them for yourself:

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/players/2079900/laremy-tunsil

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/players/2005667/ronnie-stanley

This is a great write up on the two by someone who faced Odgen in college and it gives a great perspective:

http://www.sbnation.com/2016/3/28/11184656/2016-nfl-draft-breakdown-ronnie-stanley-notre-dame-laremy-tunsil

 

I am sure the Ravens brass has done their homework and will hopefully be able to give us the best player to fit our needs. Here's to a great draft!

[Crusader]

  On Friday, April 15, 2016 at 3:14 PM, Crusader said:

"into their Week 8 bye with a 6-1 record?" Wow now that's some seriously drinking the Purple Kool-Aid. 10-6? This I got to see. I got Ravens at 7-9. Losing to Pitts after a bye at home? Can't see that.

Most of these things are simply impossible to forecast this early anyway. So many things can happen until then...

Like Ozzy said we are what our record says we are.

[fluffy201]

  On 4/15/2016 at 0:55 PM, blakedrinkard said:

i wonder why hensley has us being swept by pittsburgh which if we have a healthy team i know we can win atleast 1 of them because yes pitt does have a solid offense but their defense is weak. if we have a solid offense and our defense plays strong with some new pieces, i think we have the possible sweep in our favor. and for years we have had new englands card, we have always played them tough and close games and nobody really knows what the pats are going to look like this year. but all i can say is if we have myles jack and mosley as our LB's then i dont think Gronk will do much against us along with weddle floating around. i call a 14-2 or at worst 13-3 season because i know out players are pissed about last year and have a chip

Dude Great Prediction!! I also was thinking 13-3 at worst 12-4

!3-3 or 12-4 You guys are drinking too much purple coolaid. We would def need 4-5 quality starters out of the draft this year and that rarely happens. Maybe we can sneak into the Playoffs, but can't share the same optimism unfortunately. O Line needs a good bit of depth, our secondary still sucks. We only have one quality corner back and Kamar Aiken is our #1 receiver until we see that Steve Smith is back to his usual form. And we still have zero play makers or leaders, guys that change the dynamic of the game. They all left in 2012 and we have yet to replace them.

[reigningravens85]

I think 10-6 or 11-5 are realistic projections. But mine break down more like this:

1. Buffalo- win
2. at Cleveland- win
3. at Jacksonville- loss
4. Oakland- win
5. Washington- win
6. at Giants- loss (they're going to split the NY games)
7. at Jets- win
9. Pittsburgh- loss
10. Cleveland- win
11. at Dallas- loss
12. Cincy- win
13. Dolphins- win
14. at New England- loss
15. Philly- win
16. at Pittsburgh- win
17. at Cincy- loss

that's 10-6 as well, but without a Steelers sweep.

[reigningravens85]

  On 4/16/2016 at 11:37 PM, pcrash5 said:

@Maryland agreed...everyones putting W's on the Oakland and Jacksonville games....im not so sure, Oakland i feel is going to be a solid team this year. heavy upgrades.

on a another note i have to change my profile picture....

I agree with you, I think Oakland's about to give the Broncos a run for their money in that division this year.

I agree. I have a feeling that they are going to split the games too. But I see the loss more likely being to Jacksonville than Oakland. Ravens don't do well in back-to-back road games.

[reigningravens85]

  On 4/15/2016 at 10:35 AM, PurplenBlackFan2392 said:

I don't agree with Hensley at all on his stance at 10-6 I honestly believe just by looking at the schedule and the players we are getting back + the additions we made in FA and we still have the draft that we Can possibly go by that Pitt game after the bye 7-0. I mean honestly, you have to think that as an organization we have a chip on our shoulder and A lot to Prove to the teams we face before the bye. Especially sense that Jags game last year was cheated* (damn Refs!!) plus that Oakland game was a stunner-could have gone either way.

No way we lose to the Squeelers twice.

I think 7-0 is really generous. 5-2 or 4-3 are more likely.