SuperBowl XLIX Odds?

[cursona pirate]

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2014/01/20/oddsmaker-49ers-seahawks-broncos-co-favorites-for-2015-super-bowl/

 

I feel these odds and number stuff is annoying. Every team has a 1/32 chance at the start of the season. 

 

We have a 40 to 1 somehow. 

Thoughts?

 

[Inqui]

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2014/01/20/oddsmaker-49ers-seahawks-broncos-co-favorites-for-2015-super-bowl/

 

I feel these odds and number stuff is annoying. Every team has a 1/32 chance at the start of the season. 

 

We have a 40 to 1 somehow. 

Thoughts?

First, gambling odds are less about probability and more about public perception. The bookies want to have everyone putting a roughly even amount of money on every option, and making them 1/32 for everyone's a surefire way to lose money.

 

The 1/40 isn't about how good we are, but about how good everyone thinks we are. Depending on how free agency goes, I think that's really good value for us (speaking as an occasional gambler ).

 

Second, I disagree with the idea that every team has a 1/32 chance anyway. You can't say the Jags and 9ers are just as likely to win. Equal opportunity, sure, but even that depends on what stage a team's at. The league's equalisers tend to be more long-term things.

[K-Dog]

Meh'

[Gordo52]

Thinking of putting up a 100 on us. I've never tried it before though so I gotta read up on the process of doing so....unless one of you fine gentleman feel like enlightening me.

[Inqui]

Thinking of putting up a 100 on us. I've never tried it before though so I gotta read up on the process of doing so....unless one of you fine gentleman feel like enlightening me.

It's pretty straightforward: you put the 100 on us to win it. If we don't win, the bookies keep your money. But if we do win, they pay out $40 for every dollar you put on (because of the 40/1 odds, which can also be expressed as $40 but means the same thing).

 

If you have a gambling agency nearby you can just swing by and they'll be happy to take your money talk you through filling out a betting slip and everything. If you bet online, all you need is an account and a credit card. Try to stay with the big-named bookies - the guys at some obscure Belarussian agency may have a tempting price but handing them your credit card details may create all kinds of complications.

 

At the end of the day, have a bit of fun and don't feel pressured to bet outside your comfort zone.

[Pats]

I think hawks should be faves followed by the niners and then a healthy pats and then broncos (even though I see them getting dumped out in the first round next season). I'm interested in how baltimore draft and how kubiak does as OC.

[Gordo52]

It's pretty straightforward: you put the 100 on us to win it. If we don't win, the bookies keep your money. But if we do win, they pay out $40 for every dollar you put on (because of the 40/1 odds, which can also be expressed as $40 but means the same thing).

If you have a gambling agency nearby you can just swing by and they'll be happy to take your money talk you through filling out a betting slip and everything. If you bet online, all you need is an account and a credit card. Try to stay with the big-named bookies - the guys at some obscure Belarussian agency may have a tempting price but handing them your credit card details may create all kinds of complications.

At the end of the day, have a bit of fun and don't feel pressured to bet outside your comfort zone.

Thanks! I'm not 21, plus I think it's illegal in MD but I'm going to see if my dad can do it for me whenever we're out of state. I'm brand new to the "official gambling field" so before I put anything up I should educate myself more.

[Pats]

Thanks! I'm not 21, plus I think it's illegal in MD but I'm going to see if my dad can do it for me whenever we're out of state. I'm brand new to the "official gambling field" so before I put anything up I should educate myself more.

it's better if you have an online account instead of some stupid local betting agency or whatever, and yeah you will be on moneyline odds instead of decimal odds so you will get stuff like the favorite being -130 and the favorite being +130 for whatever the event is.

[Gordo52]

I think hawks should be faves followed by the niners and then a healthy pats and then broncos (even though I see them getting dumped out in the first round next season). I'm interested in how baltimore draft and how kubiak does as OC.

I think a heathy Packers team should be in the convo as well. I'm expecting Ted Thompson to improve their defense this offseason, but their offense is still as dangerous as anyone's.

If the Cardinals have another good draft they could be dangerous as well. They're just in such a hard division though.

[Pats]

I think a heathy Packers team should be in the convo as well. I'm expecting Ted Thompson to improve their defense this offseason, but their offense is still as dangerous as anyone's.

If the Cardinals have another good draft they could be dangerous as well. They're just in such a hard division though.

I wouldn't expect the cards to break their duck until they get rid of carson and get a real leader, I think if baltimore bring back their brutal D of every year pretty besides this season they have a great shot, also a healthy pats can almost make it by default again depending on how good baltimore is.

[Gordo52]

it's better if you have an online account instead of some stupid local betting agency or whatever, and yeah you will be on moneyline odds instead of decimal odds so you will get stuff like the favorite being -130 and the favorite being +130 for whatever the event is.

I'm not quite sure what the - & + means. Like I said, I'm brand new to pretty much everything. Especially the terminology. I know about giving people points when betting, and a little bit about the spreads but that's it.

[Gordo52]

I wouldn't expect the cards to break their duck until they get rid of carson and get a real leader, I think if baltimore bring back their brutal D of every year pretty besides this season they have a great shot, also a healthy pats can almost make it by default again depending on how good baltimore is.

Yeah a heathy pats team is scary considering the success they just had without some of their best players. I think they deserve early AFC favorites.

[Pats]

I'm not quite sure what the - & + means. Like I said, I'm brand new to pretty much everything. Especially the terminology. I know about giving people points when betting, and a little bit about the spreads but that's it.

yeah the - means you are the fave and the +means under dog and the number next to it is how much of an underdog or fave, they can be hard to figure out your profit that way if you aren't used to it. Over here we do the way better system of decimal points which I think you can change to on websites if you don't like the other way, but basically if I put 100 dollars on seattle who paid 2$ to win I would win 200$

[bpytnjr58]

I have doubts about the Broncos at 5-1 especially with Manning's future in question somewhat.