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Joe Flacco's Progression (Rookie Year Through 2012)


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#1 callahan09

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 02:21 PM

Please note, the stats do include post-season performances for each year.
The red is his career worst season in that category, the green is his career best season in that category.
The X Axis of each graph represents the season of his career (e.g. 1 = Rookie Season / 2008, 2 = 2nd Second Season / 2009, etc.)

2008 (19 Games):
Total: 290/503, 3408 Yards, 15 TD, 15 INT = 75.9 QB Rating
179.4 Y/G, 57.7%, 6.78 Y/A, 33.5 A/TD, 33.5 A/INT

2009 (18 Games):
Total: 339/544, 3836 Yards, 21 TD, 15 INT = 84.8 QB Rating
213.1 Y/G, 62.3%, 7.05 Y/A, 25.9 A/TD, 36.3 A/INT

2010 (18 Games):
Total: 347/553, 4012 Yards, 28 TD, 11 INT = 93.2 QB Rating
222.9 Y/G, 62.7%, 7.25 Y/A, 19.8 A/TD, 50.3 A/INT

2011 (18 Games):
Total: 348/605, 4092 Yards, 24 TD, 13 INT = 82.5 QB Rating
227.3 Y/G, 57.5%, 6.76 Y/A, 25.2 A/TD, 46.5 A/INT

2012 (20 Games):
Total: 390/657, 4957 Yards, 33 TD, 10 INT = 93.4 QB Rating
247.9 Y/G, 59.4%, 7.54 Y/A, 19.9 A/TD, 65.7 A/INT

Passer Rating

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Yards Per Game

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Completion Percentage

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Edited by callahan09, 12 February 2013 - 02:22 PM.

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#2 callahan09

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 02:22 PM

(graphs continued)

Yards Per Attempt

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Attempts Between Touchdowns

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Attempts Between Interceptions

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#3 beasy2487

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 02:32 PM

Beast. Makes it fairly clear that Joe has been on an outstanding trajectory and, since he is just now entering his prime, it stands to reason that next year should be a truly ridiculous offensive year for Flacco... and since he already won a ring we get to sit back and watch stress-free :-). I hope fans aren't taking this kid (and this head coach) for granted, we could look back on this coming 5-year segment of Ravens history (including this past one) as the true glory days of the franchise.

Edited by beasy2487, 12 February 2013 - 02:36 PM.

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#4 callahan09

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 03:00 PM

He had very steady improvement every year for his first 3 seasons, and then took a dive in 2011 (perhaps due to effects from the lockout?), and then this year basically picking up where he left off with his progression at the end of 2010.

Edited by callahan09, 12 February 2013 - 03:00 PM.

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#5 Moderator 3

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 03:14 PM

In 2011 he had no QB Coach because Cam wanted to handle the job. I think you can see why he had a coach again in 2012.
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#6 hawkprey

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 03:17 PM

Week 14: "He has no pocket awareness. He just stands like a statue." Avoids sacks, makes incredible outside-the-pocket plays.
Week 15: "He throws too many interceptions". Throws 0 in postseason.
Week 18: "All he does is throw deep to Boldin." Throws 50+ yard TDs to Torrey and Jacoby.
Week 19: "All he does is throw deep. He has no midrange game." Puts up huge numbers without deep ball due to high winds.

And from back when...
2009/2010: "All he does is dump off to Ray Rice." Becomes best deep ball passer in the game.
2011 opening night: "Hey Joe, see those back shoulder throws? Can we do that?" Becomes master of the back shoulder throw.
2011: "He'll never win a Super Bowl". Wins the Super Bowl.

Yeah I think he's improved just fine.
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#7 Malkavian Raven

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 03:20 PM

Ooooooo, pretty graphs!!!
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#8 izvoodoo

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 03:24 PM

In 2011 he had no QB Coach because Cam wanted to handle the job. I think you can see why he had a coach again in 2012.

We had a lot of turnover that year. The only common player was boldin.
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#9 BallHawker

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 03:37 PM

Great representation of the data! Linear progression probably has a low r and high p value, but the logarithmic interpretations really give a great prediction of what's to come as he reaches the prime of his career.

Guys - what do you think about the completion percentage? I'm not liking these mid 50s and low 60s. But does it matter in our offensive game plan with many deep attempts (which are low percentage anyway)? It's like comparing 3-pt percentage to FG percentage in basketball for me.
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#10 callahan09

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 03:48 PM

In 2011 he had no QB Coach because Cam wanted to handle the job. I think you can see why he had a coach again in 2012.


Ooh thanks! This is a very interesting point that I didn't consider. Abnormal off-season due to the lockout and his only season without a QB coach, and that makes it pretty darn clear why 2011 is the anomaly there.
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#11 BALTIMOREFLACCO

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 03:57 PM

Week 14: "He has no pocket awareness. He just stands like a statue." Avoids sacks, makes incredible outside-the-pocket plays.
Week 15: "He throws too many interceptions". Throws 0 in postseason.
Week 18: "All he does is throw deep to Boldin." Throws 50+ yard TDs to Torrey and Jacoby.
Week 19: "All he does is throw deep. He has no midrange game." Puts up huge numbers without deep ball due to high winds.

And from back when...
2009/2010: "All he does is dump off to Ray Rice." Becomes best deep ball passer in the game.
2011 opening night: "Hey Joe, see those back shoulder throws? Can we do that?" Becomes master of the back shoulder throw.
2011: "He'll never win a Super Bowl". Wins the Super Bowl.

Yeah I think he's improved just fine.


yes +1
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#12 dirtybird10

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 04:03 PM

Shouldn't 2011 show 19 games as well? We went to the AFC Championship game last year but in 09 and 10 lost in the divisional round.
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#13 flaccopoe

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 04:05 PM

Shout out to Joe Flacco!

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#14 AsianRice

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 04:05 PM

In 2011 he had no QB Coach because Cam wanted to handle the job. I think you can see why he had a coach again in 2012.

and playcallings; changing the person behind the scene equals to MVP SB winner........

PS: This year I think Caldwell can handle 2 jobs: OC and QB coach.
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#15 The Raven

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 04:07 PM

So much awesome in this thread!!!
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#16 berad

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 04:08 PM

Shouldn't 2011 show 19 games as well? We went to the AFC Championship game last year but in 09 and 10 lost in the divisional round.


We had the bye, though

I'm in awe of these stats, dude. 2011 was rough but as Mod 3 pointed out - no QB coach. Also, he had basically all new receivers and a marked change in the offense with more downfield shots.
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#17 callahan09

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 04:08 PM

Shouldn't 2011 show 19 games as well? We went to the AFC Championship game last year but in 09 and 10 lost in the divisional round.


No it is correct at 18. We had a bye week in 2011 but had to play in the Wild Card round in '09 and '10 so even though we went one round further in '11 it was the same number of games.
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#18 Gordo52

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 04:10 PM

Shout out to Joe Flacco!

https://www.facebook...&type=1

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#19 dirtybird10

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 05:22 PM

No it is correct at 18. We had a bye week in 2011 but had to play in the Wild Card round in '09 and '10 so even though we went one round further in '11 it was the same number of games.


your absolutely right! Forgot about that. Thanks!
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#20 dirtybird10

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Posted 12 February 2013 - 05:23 PM

We had the bye, though

I'm in awe of these stats, dude. 2011 was rough but as Mod 3 pointed out - no QB coach. Also, he had basically all new receivers and a marked change in the offense with more downfield shots.

Yup just realized that. Thank you!
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