2013 is going to be a brutal year for us especially in cap space. I'm just making this projection up to show people to stop dreaming fantasy of signing big names and face reality of what 2013 is going to be like on the team. The projections might be tough to swallow, however this might be our worst case scenario for the upcoming cap. I have faith that our front office can do better than this projection states. The main point is that Flacco is our first and major priority, then everything else follows.
http://russellstreet...agency-preview/http://russellstreet...ens-salary-cap/Reconstruct Contract:Haloti Ngata - Proven All-Pro, so the base contract of 4 million should help
Marshal Yanda - Proven All-Pro, so base contract of 4.5 million should help
Vonta Leach - Proven All-Pro, however giving a lot of guaranteed money to a dying breed of FBs is unwise, but let's say we really need his 3 million base salary for relief.
Terrell Suggs - This one could be tough because Suggs been struggling with injuries, but that 6 million base salary could help
Total Cap Made:
$15.04M [17.5M - 615K*4 (base salaries reduced to veteran minimums)]
Retirement:Ray Lewis - $4.3 Million in cap space
Bobbie Williams - He probably knows that his time is up after seeing how ineffective he was this season. $1.2 Million will help either way
Matt Birk - This year he has played well, but if we win, he might think of ending on top. However, if he decides to continue $2.75 M could be a deciding factor on if he stays.
Total Saving:
$8.25MReleased:Jacoby Jones - Probably an All-Pro special teamer, but we don't have the luxury to keep one, his $3 Million is too good.
Jameel McClain - 3-4 ILB are a dime in a dozen and his injury-filled season didn't help his cause and paycheck Tough Business, but his $3 Million will help our cap situation.
Total:
$6MExtend Contract:Anquan Boldin - This is probably the best choice for Boldin who hasn't top 1000 yards or made the Pro-Bowl since he got here. He's not a #1 WR, but still very useful for our team since he helps block and catch in crucial time. Probably a two year $3 Million dollar per year contract can help similar. However, his contract is highly based on how he performs in the playoffs, how the upcoming free agent class does with Dwyane Bowe, Greg Jennings, Wes Welker, Mike Wallace, and others. Will teams throw huge money, or the abundance of WRs lower the market by a lot. I assume Boldin is going to get cut when the market price far below the standard $7.2 Million.
Saving:
$6MExclusive Free Agents:RB – Anthony Allen
RB – Damien Berry
RB – Bobby Rainey
LB – Josh Bynes - Dime in a dozen ILB, who might help relieve McClain's departure
LB – Albert McClellan
DT – Bryan Hall
S – Anthony Levine
I assume the Ravens will tender them all around $555,000 or $480,000 depending on their service. It's cheaper to tender them and let them try to make the roster in the upcoming season, unless they are really unfit for the team.
Spent:
$3.885MRestricted Free Agents:TE – Dennis Pitta - 2nd rounder - Proven target for Flacco and will be retained due to that we have no TEs on our roster for 2013. I believe a 2nd rounder is enough because last year showed teams were unwilling to part with a 2nd rounder.
TE – Ed Dickson - 3rd rounder - He hasn't turned into the player we all hoped, but still cheaper to retain RFAs, then start over with rookies.
DT – Arthur Jones - 2nd Rounder - Jones has turned into a solid player this year and it would be unwise to try gamble and put a lower tender because teams will definitely believe a mid round pick is enough for a starting caliber player.
LS – Morgan Cox - Not tendered - Team might just give him the veteran minimum because Long Snappers aren't a hot commodity
OL – Ramon Harewood - Not tendered - Probably offered veteran minimum due to potential and depth, but time is running out.
WR – David Reed - Not tendered - Injuries costed his potential and his ceiliing might be a Special Teamer.
S – Emmanuel Cook - Not tendered - A lot of unknowns after breaking his leg.
First Round Tender - $2.879M (est)
2nd Round Tender - $2.023M (est)
Low Round Tender - $1.323M (est)
Total Spent:
$5.369M2013 Draft ClassThey need to get paid too, and from the outlooks of things, we might get up to 11 picks (seven original + four compensatory), which is a lot of money we need to save.
Total Need:
$7M (Around there for a draft class this big)
Total Salary Cap:$106.5M - $35.29M (Reconstruction + Release + Retirement) + $16.254M (Draft Class + ERFA + RFA)
=
$87.464M in money spent (41 players on roster)
or
$34.536M in cap space from the projected cap limit of $122M
This is the cap space with all the cuts to key players and without signing Flacco.
The Flacco Situation:Joe Flacco - You can bet he's not leaving here, so now the team is waiting to see if Flacco can prove himself to get paid like an elite QB. The playoff performance plays a big role on Flacco. Also, his contract could be at least $15M+ thanks to pro-bowl Matt Schaub's contract of $15.5 per year. The Franchise Tag could be around $16M so we know that we're going to spend money to keep Flacco. All I know is that the $18M+ of the Elite Status QBs (Brady, Manning, Brees) has be to be in form of escalators and not guarantees because Flacco hasn't been to the Pro-Bowls or had an All-Pro regular season performance.
Total Spent:
$16M per year - this might be our best shot for Flacco's contract as the price of Franchise QB has risen dramatically with the recent contracts of Matt Schaub and Drew Brees
Cap Space Left:
$18.536M to sign at least 11 players to make a full roster
Remaining Key Free Agents:Ed Reed - As beloved as Ed Reed has been for Baltimore, his time here depends highly on what's on Reed's agenda. If Ed Reed wants to get that one final big payday, then it might be tough to keep him here. Charles Woodson might be the perfect example of what Ed Reed's big payday might look like. Woodson's annual base salary of $6.5M is really a big price to pay for an aging injury-proned All-Pro and Hall of Fame Safety. If other teams want to gamble on paying a premium for the few remaining years of Ed Reed, then we have no choice, but to say goodbye. However, with the factors of retirement and injuries, teams might be shy to give him a big contract, so the market sets Ed Reed's value. If Reed wants to finish his career here, then he has to take a hometown discount to stay in the culture of a winning team.
Cary Williams - Williams has gone through a lot of ups and downs through his time here. However, he is our #1 CB after Webb went down and he has holded up somewhat solid. He has basically sealed his fate here by rejecting the team's 3 year $15 million offer. He decided that he can perform to a bigger contract and has done well to prove it. He might be looking for something similar to Eric Wright's 5 year $37.5 million contract in the market.
Paul Kruger - He was considered a red star player back in the 2009 draft. Even though it took all 4 years, he has finally broken out to be that red star player the front office was talking about. The only thing is that what will be the price to keep him here. Cliff Avril and Anthony Spencer will decide the price tag of Paul Kruger because pass rushers are of the premium and the Ravens might have to pay a pretty penny ($7M+ or even higher) to keep Kruger here.
Dannelle Ellerbe - It's his contract year and he's been our best LB throughout the season. The best thing about ILB is that they have a soft market, which has reduce their value greatly. Ellerbe doesn't have Pro-Bowl creditials, but the Ravens know he's one of their most effective players. However he does have injury and discipline concern and the front office has to decide if he's worth the money to keep here. He might be looking something similar to Jameel McClain's contract (3 year $10.5M), which is the price for a starting ILB contract that is not an All-Pro.
Bryant McKinnie - A definite headcase, but is talented to play a hot commodity position. We all know he has a debt problem and needs to stay in the NFL to pay it off. Starting LTs are hard to come by in this league, but there could be a chance the McKinnie decides to return for a small contract that is fit for an aging LT. However, that chance is silm because McKinnie might go for the best offer out there and there are plenty of teams that are willing to overpay for Left Tackles.
Overview:With this projection, we all can see the Ravens can make up a lot of cap space at the cost of sacrificing some key veterans and putting more financial stress in the future. However, the league knows that 2014 is a big year for salary cap due to the huge TV endorsement that will increase the cap limit. The Ravens Front Office know what is best for the team and have plenty of options to keep fielding a competitive team for the 6th straight year.