My Fantasy Players Opinions....im no expert

[usmccharles]

I posted most of this in a thread already but im bored so i thought i would expand a bit more, maybe even get feed back, even if you think im crazy. Im in a10 team, 2 player keeper league, i have foster and rice, i know...i worked some magic for foster at the end of the season. I understand that the rb group is very thin after you past the top 5, but my advice is dont reach too much for an rb, if you have a late round pick, hell take megatron in the first because you know what your getting. in no way do i think im a genius or an expert, i just love fantasy football and like giving my opinion and debating with others. There is no real order to this, some was from the thread, but i changed it up a bit,My main thing is what value you get for your pick, enjoy

Antonio Brown- hes more consistant than wallace, wallace is just a go route or slant guy. brown had 3 100 yard games last year, wallace had 4 and i bet money you can get brown 3 rounds later than wallace goes

Stephen Jackson- I think he has a monster year, hes no doubt a work horse and he always stays in great shape, but reports say hes in the best shape ever. Fisher also loves to ron the ball, but it would be wise to handcuff him with isiah pead, who looks promising. Normally i stay away from RBs that you need to pick up their handcuff ie charles/hillis, AP/gerhart...but i love jackson this year

Demarco Murry- Im not sold on murray at all, if you take away his massive 250 yard game his stats are pretty average, 7 games started with 2 TDs is not impressive. He also got injured at the end of the season, so a guy that starts half way through the season cant finish 8 games, i understand that injurys happen, but based on where hes ranked and being drafted, i wouldnt touch him

Bernard Scott or Jacquizz Rodgers- Id stay away from both just because i dont see anything special or enough of a work load, i guess for a rb3 in a 12 team id go with rodgers...if i had to.

AJ Green- with a full of season of OTAs and training camp, him and dalton will be clicking even better, if thats possible. i think he finishes top ten wr

Michael Turner- i think his workload goes down some as the falcons become a more of a passing team. still a 2nd tier rb, but im staying away.

Frank Gore- With his decling production, the amount of rbs in the backfield in san fran now, i just want no part of him unless he slips.....far.

Mcfadden- im not touching a guy that hasnt played more than 13 games in a season, hes missed 30% of his career. Yea he may be great for the first 13 weeks, but if hes not there week 14 good luck. goodson is a late handcuff for sure, bc theres no one else. He for sure has amazing talent, but too risky to me go after him where your gonna have to take him

Darren Sproles- hes a rb3 to me, depending on if its a ppr. I dont think he has close to last years season, but people are going to reach for him so ill let them do that

Jamaal Charles- Im in a dilema right now because someone is trying to give me charles and a 4th rounder for foster in my keeper league, i also have rice. I want to stay away from him mainly because of hillis, i think hillis is a good rb3 and im aiming for him. charles is too risky for my liking to be drafted where you have to get him mainly because of his injury. But the good thing about him is, he doesnt need 20+ carries a game bc his points are off of the big plays, so it only takes one play for him to get his points

Trent Richardson- he will have a big workload in a horrible offense, but hes a rookie, at best a rb2 to me and thats pushing, i cant believe people are ranking him around 6th best rb, he also plays us and pitt 4 times, plus i dont trust rookies

Foster- its obvious about him, i just wanted to say i drafted him in the 4th in his break out year, i had a feeling it and i like to brag about it

Bills Defense- sleeper pick here, right now there rank is outside of the top ten so in a top ten league you should be able to grab them late, people draft defenses way too early, ill grab them in the 11th most likely

Danny Amendola wr rams- sleeper pick, i liked him last year but the rams were...well crappy. im aiming for him late

Terrel Owens- just signed with seahawks. hes always kept in outstanding physical shape and he will produce flex numbers or possible wr2 numbers, who else do they even have? baldwin...eh

steven ridley- clear number one guy in NE i think, great potential and value for a rb3 late when the rb pool gets depleted

jacob tamme- already familar with peyton, and its peyton, even if he cant throw a deep ball, the dink and dunk passes will be there

jared cook titans te- dude is athletically freakish and posted good numbers last year, i think locker will be the started and their offense will be explosive

Adrian peterson- he got hurt in December, same injury as charles, I think, and im hesistant on charles. if you draft AP you need to handcuff him with gerhart who is average at best. So thats two roster spots for high risk high reward, let someone else take that risk

lloyd- He likes josh mcdaniels and was a number one fantasy wr with kyle orton...he has tom brady now. Just dont over reach, 4th sounds good to me

hillis- i really like hillis this year and i have a good feeling. I think the chiefs want to keep charles fresh and are gonna give him low carries, hillis has great power and i think he sees about 10 carries a game, i want him as my rb3 this year bc ill draft him late. he also has good recieving ability, and if charles goes down, you have a clear rb2 work horse.

victor cruz- i picked him up last year and he tore it up for me, but i dont see anything like last year happening. He had some insane long receptions that i dont think is repeated, but someone will grab him early

julio jones- i think he has a huge year, roddy white on the other side will help deter coverage. He also was the NFL YAC leader (pretty sure) last year.

brandon marshall- him back with cutler, im thinking they have a big year together, im hoping i can grab marshall but i dont think i can. the guy is an awesome athlete with great hands

jay cutler- im considering waiting to get a qb late...and its this guy. yea he will throw picks, but hes not afraid to toss it up there, and with marshall and forte theres huge play potential on every play

Gronk- obviously considered the number 1TE...not to me though, ill take graham anyday over him and ill even take hernandez because of value. Gronk had a lot of deep balls thrown his way, pats brought in lloyd for that so expect his targets to drop in my opion

Hernandez- im big on hernandez this year. He still finished last year as the number 3 TE and you can get him 5 or 6th round. He also will see some carries, so because of value ill take hernandez over the other two

ryan mathews- because the rb pool this year is so thin, hes being ranked pretty high. He has great skills and put up good numbers last year, his health worries me. To me hes a third rounder but will most likely go early second

hmmm thats all i can think of at the moment,,,feel free to throw some names out there and give me something to do. But in no way do i think im smarter than anyone else doing this, everyone has their views and these are mine, im just extremely bored....

[gabefergy]

Here my thoughts on a few players:

Guys I love:

Jordy Nelson: I dont think he will replicate his numbers from last season, but I think it will be pretty close. A lot of folks dont realize just how good this guy is. People see white receiver and think possession guy, that's not Nelson at all. He is big, fast, and physical. He abuses press coverage and really should have coverage rolled to him. Rodgers knows how good he is and whenever he is matched up in 1v1 press the just lets Nelson beat his man and he puts it up for him. This guy is 6'3, 220...if I had to compare to someone it would be T.O.

Fred Jackson: Jackson was on pace for a monster season last year until he broke his leg. He is back healthy this season and I think he will have another strong year. I know he will split some time with Spiller, but I think Jackson will still get plenty of touches. He is underrated receiver as well.

Cam Newton: Like Jordy Nelson, I doubt Newton will repeat last season, in fact I think he will regress. However, the fact that he will accumulate rushing yards and TDs makes him extremely valuable. I still like him as a top 5 QB.

Antonio Brown: Last season, Brown emerged as Ben's #1 target and that trend will continue. He is especially valuable in a PPR format. My guess is he catches 90 balls for 1200 yards and 6 TDs.

Matt Forte: A lot of people are down of Forte because of his injury and the signing of Michael Bush, but Forte just got a big contract. He has a more conservative OC in Mike Tice. Forte will still be the workhorse in that offense. 1,700 total yards and 7 TDs.

Guys I am staying away from:

Frank Gore: Gore really showed his age last season. He will lose carries to the young guys on that roster (mostly Hunter). I dont think he will be in my top 20 RBs.

Tony Romo: Romo will not repeat last season's performance. He lost his go to target in Laurent Robinson and Miles Austin is always getting hurt. Bryant has yet to emerge as a true #1 WR. Jason Witten is getting older and their Oline isnt great.

Trent Richardson: I dont think he is the next AP. In fact, I think he may be a bit of a bust. Part of that will come from having to play in the AFC North, but I think most teams will really key on him because the Browns still lack real threats in the passing game. Running over 8 man fronts in the SEC is one thing, doing the same in the NFL is another.

Julio Jones: Is Matt Ryan good enough to produce 2 elite fantasy WRs? I dont think so. They have a bad Oline and Roddy White is still going to see a lot of balls thrown his way. I think Jones will have a good season, but I wouldnt take him as a top 10 WR.

Dez Bryant: See Romo, Tony.

Rob Gronkowski: To get Gronk, you will have to draft him in the second round which will be a bad decision. He may catch 10 TDs and have over 1,000 yards, but he wont come near the numbers he had last season. New OC with his favorite WR Brandon Lloyd spells doom for Gronk. Gronk was their vertical threat last season, not anymore.

[usmccharles]

[quote name='gabefergy' timestamp='1344439330' post='1112359']
Here my thoughts on a few players:

Guys I love:

Jordy Nelson: I dont think he will replicate his numbers from last season, but I think it will be pretty close. A lot of folks dont realize just how good this guy is. People see white receiver and think possession guy, that's not Nelson at all. He is big, fast, and physical. He abuses press coverage and really should have coverage rolled to him. Rodgers knows how good he is and whenever he is matched up in 1v1 press the just lets Nelson beat his man and he puts it up for him. This guy is 6'3, 220...if I had to compare to someone it would be T.O. [color=#FF0000]i completely agree, as he wont put up the same numbers i think hes def a good wr to grab, the wr pool is deep this year. I also like his team mate cobb[/color]

Fred Jackson: Jackson was on pace for a monster season last year until he broke his leg. He is back healthy this season and I think he will have another strong year. I know he will split some time with Spiller, but I think Jackson will still get plenty of touches. He is underrated receiver as well. [color=#FF0000]i picked him up in the 4th last year and he helped get to 6-0, i think he has a good year but now that cj spiller finally showed what he can do, they are gonna get him more work, fjax in the 4th would be good again to me, value is there, but i also wont mind picking up spiller either.[/color]

Cam Newton: Like Jordy Nelson, I doubt Newton will repeat last season, in fact I think he will regress. However, the fact that he will accumulate rushing yards and TDs makes him extremely valuable. I still like him as a top 5 QB. [color=#FF0000]ill say top ten, i think he regresses overall[/color]

Antonio Brown: Last season, Brown emerged as Ben's #1 target and that trend will continue. He is especially valuable in a PPR format. My guess is he catches 90 balls for 1200 yards and 6 TDs.

Matt Forte: A lot of people are down of Forte because of his injury and the signing of Michael Bush, but Forte just got a big contract. He has a more conservative OC in Mike Tice. Forte will still be the workhorse in that offense. 1,700 total yards and 7 TDs. [color=#FF0000]agreed[/color]

Guys I am staying away from:

Frank Gore: Gore really showed his age last season. He will lose carries to the young guys on that roster (mostly Hunter). I dont think he will be in my top 20 RBs. [color=#FF0000]agreed[/color]

Tony Romo: Romo will not repeat last season's performance. He lost his go to target in Laurent Robinson and Miles Austin is always getting hurt. Bryant has yet to emerge as a true #1 WR. Jason Witten is getting older and their Oline isnt great.[color=#FF0000] i was really big on him for the last couple weeks, with miles austins continue hamstring issues, dez bryant off the field issues, possibly a suspension, losing robinson, im staying away now...[/color]

Trent Richardson: I dont think he is the next AP. In fact, I think he may be a bit of a bust. Part of that will come from having to play in the AFC North, but I think most teams will really key on him because the Browns still lack real threats in the passing game. Running over 8 man fronts in the SEC is one thing, doing the same in the NFL is another. [color=#FF0000]i think the main reason i cant get on this wagon is hes beeing ranked around top 7, i think thats insane, he will get the work, but that offense is so horrid, stacking the box is gonna prevent him from doing anything too special[/color]

Julio Jones: Is Matt Ryan good enough to produce 2 elite fantasy WRs? I dont think so. They have a bad Oline and Roddy White is still going to see a lot of balls thrown his way. I think Jones will have a good season, but I wouldnt take him as a top 10 WR. [color=#FF0000]i think julio has a big year, hes got great yac play making skills and i think matt ryan actually has a good year,,,,[/color]

Dez Bryant: See Romo, Tony.

Rob Gronkowski: To get Gronk, you will have to draft him in the second round which will be a bad decision. He may catch 10 TDs and have over 1,000 yards, but he wont come near the numbers he had last season. New OC with his favorite WR Brandon Lloyd spells doom for Gronk. Gronk was their vertical threat last season, not anymore. [color=#FF0000]agreed[/color]
[/quote]

[gabefergy]

Back to Cam Newton, I was reading an article about him on ESPN and I think it hits the nail on the head.

[url="http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/story?page=nfldk2k12_newton"]http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/story?page=nfldk2k12_newton[/url]

In summation, even if Newton regresses, which we all think will happen, his numbers will still be incredibly good because of the rushing yards and TDs. Rushing yards are 150% more valuable than passing yards in most leagues and rushing TDs are 50% more valuable. If he has 3,000 yards passing and 20 passing TDs combined with 500 yards rushing and 5 rushing TDs that is equivalent to a 4,250 yard passer who throws for 27.5 TDs. Those are very conservative numbers and would still put him among the elite QBs. Maybe not top 5, but I also think he will have better numbers than that.

[Mt. Crushmore]

[quote name='gabefergy' timestamp='1344479686' post='1113382']
Back to Cam Newton, I was reading an article about him on ESPN and I think it hits the nail on the head.

[url="http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/story?page=nfldk2k12_newton"]http://sports.espn.g...fldk2k12_newton[/url]

In summation, even if Newton regresses, which we all think will happen, his numbers will still be incredibly good because of the rushing yards and TDs. Rushing yards are 150% more valuable than passing yards in most leagues and rushing TDs are 50% more valuable. If he has 3,000 yards passing and 20 passing TDs combined with 500 yards rushing and 5 rushing TDs that is equivalent to a 4,250 yard passer who throws for 27.5 TDs. Those are very conservative numbers and would still put him among the elite QBs. Maybe not top 5, but I also think he will have better numbers than that.
[/quote]

I think he regresses a little just because defenses will have a little better idea of him but he will still be a good fantasy QB due to the rushing and passing.

[usmccharles]

[quote name='gabefergy' timestamp='1344479686' post='1113382']
Back to Cam Newton, I was reading an article about him on ESPN and I think it hits the nail on the head.

[url="http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/story?page=nfldk2k12_newton"]http://sports.espn.g...fldk2k12_newton[/url]

In summation, even if Newton regresses, which we all think will happen, his numbers will still be incredibly good because of the rushing yards and TDs. Rushing yards are 150% more valuable than passing yards in most leagues and rushing TDs are 50% more valuable. If he has 3,000 yards passing and 20 passing TDs combined with 500 yards rushing and 5 rushing TDs that is equivalent to a 4,250 yard passer who throws for 27.5 TDs. Those are very conservative numbers and would still put him among the elite QBs. Maybe not top 5, but I also think he will have better numbers than that.
[/quote]

good article, you make some good points. Id take him in a later round but i cant justify a first round on him, but ive always been a rb type a guy in the first round and sometimes the second, obviously depending on who is left. i think there is too many qbs that will put up decent numbers that you can grab in a later round so the value is a lot better. but after reading that article and looking at his numbers again, youve convinced me hes still a top guy, congrats, i dont flop often