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Bold Predictions

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[quote name='Ravens<3' timestamp='1344011442' post='1109356']
-Flacco: 4,012 yards-31 TDs-14 INTs

-Suggs comes back week 11 for Steelers game, and records 2 sacks.

-Upshaw: 7.5 sacks, 4 FF, 1 INT, 78 tackles, - DPRY.
[/quote]
Flaccos sure isn't very bold :D
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[quote name='1/28/01' timestamp='1344012766' post='1109379']
Flaccos sure isn't very bold :D
[/quote]
Ehh, not trying to be to bold lol. His career highs are 3,622 and 25 TDs. Still kind of bold for him.
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For my defensive bold predictions

Ray Lewis gets 3 interceptions, and one touchdown.
Reed gets 5+ picks.
Ngata gets 7 sacks, 70 tackles. Wins DPOY.
Kruger hits double digit sacks.
Kindle, Upshaw, and McPhee combine for 24 sacks.
Webb continues his streak of not allowing a TD pass.
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[quote name='Ravensfan23' timestamp='1344010398' post='1109344']


I love it. How about defense. I say

Ray & Jameel combine for 250 tackles 5sacks 3Ints
Ngata & Cody combine for 100 tackles 8sacks (Nagta 7,TC 1)
Jones, Mcphee, McBean combine for 90 tackles 16sacks(Mcphee 8, McBean 4.5, Jones 3.5)
Kindle has 25 tackles 10 sacks
Kruger 67 tackles 12 sacks 3FF 1int
Upshaw 42 tackles 8.5 sacks
Suggs 15 tackles 3 sacks

In the secondary Webb earns the respect of that shutdown corner, so QBs stay away from him.

Webb 55 tackles 3 Ints 2 sacks 1TD
Jimmy 65 tackles 6Ints 2 sacks 1TDs
Cary & Graham 60 tackles 7 ints (Cary 5, Cory 2)
Ed Reed 47 tackles 9 ints 1TD
Pollard 85 tackles 1int, knocks at least one WR out of a game.

Total Defense 1,100Tackles, 57sacks 31Ints 25 FF 3TDs. This defense rivals that of the 2006 season and comparisons of the 2000 defense are thrown around.
[/quote]
57 sacks and 25 FF's while losing our best player at each stat???? Oh boy
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[quote name='codizzle' timestamp='1344015412' post='1109434']
57 sacks and 25 FF's while losing our best player at each stat???? Oh boy
[/quote]i was going to do the maths on that one myself, 31 ints is 2 a game as well. If your getting that many sacks and FFs theres hardly enough chances for 31 ints lol
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[quote name='codizzle' timestamp='1344015412' post='1109434']
57 sacks and 25 FF's while losing our best player at each stat???? Oh boy
[/quote]

That's why they call the predictions Bold my friend. It's something that everyone can't see happening
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[quote name='arnie_uk' timestamp='1344015663' post='1109441']
i was going to do the maths on that one myself, 31 ints is 2 a game as well. If your getting that many sacks and FFs theres hardly enough chances for 31 ints lol
[/quote]

Hey in 2006 the Ravens defense totaled 60 sacks, 24FF and 28 Ints. So while bold, it's not impossible. That's why I said they'll rival the 2006 defense, and start to get comparisons to the 2000 defense.

I don't just throw out random numbers. I actually like to put some realism to my prediction, how ever small it may be lol.
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[quote name='Ravensfan23' timestamp='1344015810' post='1109444']


That's why they call the predictions Bold my friend. It's something that everyone can't see happening
[/quote]
Understood lol but I like to view them as attainable predictions
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[quote name='codizzle' timestamp='1344015973' post='1109452']
Understood lol but I like to view them as attainable predictions
[/quote]\

Hey there's nothing written that says because Suggs is hurt, Kindle, Kruger and Upshaw can't all be double digit sack guys, that's at least 30 sacks if that happens. I figure the offense will be scoring more points, which is evident by my offensive predictions, so teams will be forced to pass more and much like 2006, we'll be able to pin our ears back and hunt much more often.
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[quote name='Ravensfan23' timestamp='1344015943' post='1109451']
Hey in 2006 the Ravens defense totaled 60 sacks, 24FF and 28 Ints. So while bold, it's not impossible. That's why I said they'll rival the 2006 defense, and start to get comparisons to the 2000 defense.

I don't just throw out random numbers. I actually like to put some realism to my prediction, how ever small it may be lol.
[/quote]well at least you did, i remember someone doing passing stats had the WRs getting like 500 more yards than our qbs passed for
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[quote name='arnie_uk' timestamp='1344016469' post='1109463']
well at least you did, i remember someone doing passing stats had the WRs getting like 500 more yards than our qbs passed for
[/quote]

hey it's all in fun and although we should, nobodies gonna be held accountable for these predictions come seasons end. But it would be fun to look back at this thread in Feburary.
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[quote name='Ravensfan23' timestamp='1344016803' post='1109466']
hey it's all in fun and although we should, nobodies gonna be held accountable for these predictions come seasons end. But it would be fun to look back at this thread in Feburary.
[/quote]i suggested it last year but it never happened. Too much discussion through. should be a prediction only thread one per person, lock it right at gameday week 1 and then look at it when season ends
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[quote name='arnie_uk' timestamp='1344016927' post='1109470']
i suggested it last year but it never happened. Too much discussion through. should be a prediction only thread one per person, lock it right at gameday week 1 and then look at it when season ends
[/quote]

Sounds good.
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[quote name='Ravensfan23' timestamp='1343997849' post='1109259']
The Ravens best offensive season was in 1996. Flacco and company will surpass those numbers this year. Flacco will break the single season passing totals in Ravens history, and Torrey will break the single season Receiving totals.

Flacco: 4,389yds 35TDs 9Ints 67% 97.9 QB Rating
Torrey: 80rec 1.320yds 16.2ypc 18TDs
RICE: 1.515 rush 400 receiving 15 TTDs

Ravens offense in 2012: 6,200 yards 61TDs 388ypg 26.6ppg Rank #7 in total offense

I said it and I stand by it. Watch these young Ravens Flay this year.
[/quote]

Just wanted to fill in the blanks for your Flacco prediction:

If he does 4,389 yds, 35 TDs, 9 Ints, 67% completion percentage, as you predict, then in order to get a 97.9 QB Rating he would need to throw the ball 657 times (with 441 completions). That comes out to only 6.68 Yards Per Attempt, and it would qualify in the top 5 most pass attempts in a single season of all time. That's over 100 more pass attempts than he had last season, and last season was already uncharacteristically high for Flacco. Flacco's QB Rating in the first half of the season was a 76.9, out of 309 attempts. In the second half, he threw the ball significantly less, and his rating was significantly higher: Rating of 86.1, out of 233 attempts. Joe doesn't throw 657 times in a season, and I doubt he'll start in 2012.

That said, I'd love to see him put up numbers like you said. To be able to control the game with that many scores and that few turnovers, marching the ball at will, that's amazing. I mean, to complete 2 out of every 3 passes, for over 6.5 yards per attempt, you're practically getting a first down every set of downs, without fail, and controlling the clock while you do it. That's just fantastic. But I think Joe's game in 2012 will be more about the long ball.
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[quote name='PWNEDbyDEANO' timestamp='1335302852' post='1055964']
Is this over next season alone? Or over the next four or five which we're bound to keep him around for?
[/quote]

All in the 2012 season, which is why it's [b]bold[/b].
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I think mine are just statements. Nothing too bold. Probably some wishful thinking lol

Offense
Flacco: 4190 yards 63% 30 TDs 13 INTs 120 rushing 2 TDs
Rice: 1305 rushing 11 TDs 435 receiving
Pierce: 395 yards 5 TDs
Allen & Leach: 90 yards 1 TD
Torrey: 1150 yards 10 TDs
Boldin: 1010 yards (finally) 6 TDs
Jones: 465 yards 4 TDs (1 rushing)
Dickson: 545 yards 6 TDs
Pitta: 485 yards 4 TDs
Doss & Laquan: 100 yards 1 TD (shocker: they actually get on the field)

Total yards: 6100
Touchdowns: 50

Defense
Reed: 2 sacks. 1 FF. 7 INTs. 2 picks 6s. 1 that wins a game (yeah we've missed these)
Pollard: 1 sack. 3 FF. 3 INTs
Webb: 1 sack. 1 FF. 6 INTs. 2 pick 6s
Jimmy: 1 FF. 4 INTs
Cary: 1 FF. 1 INT (he actually holds on to one)
Graham: 1 INT
Ray: 100 tackles. 2 sacks. 2 FF. 2 INTs. pick 6
Mcclain: 90 tackles. 1 sack
Ngata: 70 tackles. 5.5 sacks. 3 FF
Kruger: 60 tackles. 9 sacks. 1 FF
Upshaw: 65 tackles. 6.5 sacks. 2 FF. 1 INT
McPhee: 10 sacks. 1 FF
Kindle: 7 sacks. 1 FF (comeback of the year candidate)
Suggs: no prediction

Total yards: no prediction
Touchdowns: 27 allowed, 5 scored
Sacks: 45 (no drop off)
INTs: 26 (increase)
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[quote name='callahan09' timestamp='1344022568' post='1109554']
Just wanted to fill in the blanks for your Flacco prediction:

If he does 4,389 yds, 35 TDs, 9 Ints, 67% completion percentage, as you predict, then in order to get a 97.9 QB Rating he would need to throw the ball 657 times (with 441 completions). That comes out to only 6.68 Yards Per Attempt, and it would qualify in the top 5 most pass attempts in a single season of all time. That's over 100 more pass attempts than he had last season, and last season was already uncharacteristically high for Flacco. Flacco's QB Rating in the first half of the season was a 76.9, out of 309 attempts. In the second half, he threw the ball significantly less, and his rating was significantly higher: Rating of 86.1, out of 233 attempts. Joe doesn't throw 657 times in a season, and I doubt he'll start in 2012.

That said, I'd love to see him put up numbers like you said. To be able to control the game with that many scores and that few turnovers, marching the ball at will, that's amazing. I mean, to complete 2 out of every 3 passes, for over 6.5 yards per attempt, you're practically getting a first down every set of downs, without fail, and controlling the clock while you do it. That's just fantastic. But I think Joe's game in 2012 will be more about the long ball.
[/quote]

Ok, never have been sure of how the QB Rating worked. I just throw a number out there based on his 2010 number QBR of 93.6 and just expected him to improve that number.

I agree Flacco will not attempt that many passes. I have his full stat line looking like this.......

363/550 66% 4,320yds 35TDs 9Ints 7.8 avg. What would that make his QB Rating then?
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[quote name='Ravensfan23' timestamp='1344010398' post='1109344']


I love it. How about defense. I say

Ray & Jameel combine for 250 tackles 5sacks 3Ints
Ngata & Cody combine for 100 tackles 8sacks (Nagta 7,TC 1)
Jones, Mcphee, McBean combine for 90 tackles 16sacks(Mcphee 8, McBean 4.5, Jones 3.5)
Kindle has 25 tackles 10 sacks
Kruger 67 tackles 12 sacks 3FF 1int
Upshaw 42 tackles 8.5 sacks
Suggs 15 tackles 3 sacks

In the secondary Webb earns the respect of that shutdown corner, so QBs stay away from him.

Webb 55 tackles 3 Ints 2 sacks 1TD
Jimmy 65 tackles 6Ints 2 sacks 1TDs
Cary & Graham 60 tackles 7 ints (Cary 5, Cory 2)
Ed Reed 47 tackles 9 ints 1TD
Pollard 85 tackles 1int, knocks at least one WR out of a game.

Total Defense 1,100Tackles, 57sacks 31Ints 25 FF 3TDs. This defense rivals that of the 2006 season and comparisons of the 2000 defense are thrown around.
[/quote]
Your addition is a big off with the sacks. It would be amazing if our defense had that kind if a year though. I think its possible especially if our offense breaks out and teams have to play catch-up.
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[quote name='gabefergy' timestamp='1344031694' post='1109602']
Your addition is a big off with the sacks. It would be amazing if our defense had that kind if a year though. I think its possible especially if our offense breaks out and teams have to play catch-up.
[/quote]

I think i'm way off actually. I see us having about 50 sacks or so, not sure where they come from exactly though. If I had to knock a few off, I'd probably drop Kindle down to 5.5 sacks, I'm just really excited for him this year.

Yea I actually think it's possible man, I strongly feel the offense will be explosive this year and really stay aggressive, putting pressure on teams all game. I think we have the best combination of pass rush and coverage working together that we've had in years. If we get up on teams and continue putting pressure on them like Flacco wants, our defense will be able to pin their ears back and hunt.
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[quote name='Ravensfan23' timestamp='1344032430' post='1109610']
I think i'm way off actually. [b]I see us having about 50 sacks or so[/b], not sure where they come from exactly though. If I had to knock a few off, I'd probably drop Kindle down to 5.5 sacks, I'm just really excited for him this year.

Yea I actually think it's possible man, I strongly feel the offense will be explosive this year and really stay aggressive, putting pressure on teams all game. I think we have the best combination of pass rush and coverage working together that we've had in years. If we get up on teams and continue putting pressure on them like Flacco wants, our defense will be able to pin their ears back and hunt.
[/quote]

You ARE bold in your predictions! ;)

But I love optimism... as long as it's realistic. Minny & Philthydelphia led the NFL with [b]50 sacks [/b]last year, so you're saying we'll lead the NFL in sacks, without Suggs for the majority of the season?

Like I said, I like optimsm! :)
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[quote name='mhead66' timestamp='1344041944' post='1109689']
You ARE bold in your predictions! ;)

But I love optimism... as long as it's realistic. Minny & Philthydelphia led the NFL with [b]50 sacks [/b]last year, so you're saying we'll lead the NFL in sacks, without Suggs for the majority of the season?

Like I said, I like optimsm! :)
[/quote]

Just because we lose one of our better players doesn't mean everyone else will just stop playing. It's not like Suggs set the NFL on fire with sacks last season, he had 14. In 2010 the SD Chargers had 47 sacks with Shaun Phillips as they're only double digit sack guy with 11.

I strongly feel Kruger will have a double digit sack season, so that's at least 10 right there. McPhee had 6 as a rookie. I expect him to at least up that by 1, but could very well see him posting double digits as well. But keeping it minimal I'll stick to him having 7 sacks, with is 17 total sacks now. Ngata has posted 5 sacks the last 2 seasons, I don't see why he won't at least post the same totals. That's 22 sacks.

I think Upshaw as a rookie will have 6-8 sacks much like McPhee, while Kindle as a situational pass rusher will have 5-6 much like Kruger. Now we're talking about 33-36 sacks. McBean had 4 sacks with the Broncos last season, so I can see him replacing Reddings 4.5 this season. 37-41 sacks.

With the loss of Suggs, I think we'll see a bit more blitzing from the ILBs, so I can see that position combining for about 6 sacks, which isn't much off their last seasons total of 4.5. So that pushes the sack total up to about 41-45 give or take a few. Then there is still blitzes from the secondary, plus guys like Art Jones and McClellan who could add to the sack total.

I know the popular beleif is that we lost Suggs so we can't possible be as good at getting after the QB without him, I just don't fall in line with that. I think without Suggs, you won't see RBs chipping as much, you take JJ off the field and add better pass rushers, and I feel our pass defense will be much stronger, which will force QBs to hold the ball.

We might not hit 50, but I don't think we'll be far off our mark of 48 from last season. I think that's very much realistic, I'm not much of a small thinker.
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[quote name='Ravensfan23' timestamp='1344048443' post='1109751']
Just because we lose one of our better players doesn't mean everyone else will just stop playing. It's not like Suggs set the NFL on fire with sacks last season, he had 14. In 2010 the SD Chargers had 47 sacks with Shaun Phillips as they're only double digit sack guy with 11.

I strongly feel Kruger will have a double digit sack season, so that's at least 10 right there. McPhee had 6 as a rookie. I expect him to at least up that by 1, but could very well see him posting double digits as well. But keeping it minimal I'll stick to him having 7 sacks, with is 17 total sacks now. Ngata has posted 5 sacks the last 2 seasons, I don't see why he won't at least post the same totals. That's 22 sacks.

I think Upshaw as a rookie will have 6-8 sacks much like McPhee, while Kindle as a situational pass rusher will have 5-6 much like Kruger. Now we're talking about 33-36 sacks. McBean had 4 sacks with the Broncos last season, so I can see him replacing Reddings 4.5 this season. 37-41 sacks.

With the loss of Suggs, I think we'll see a bit more blitzing from the ILBs, so I can see that position combining for about 6 sacks, which isn't much off their last seasons total of 4.5. So that pushes the sack total up to about 41-45 give or take a few. Then there is still blitzes from the secondary, plus guys like Art Jones and McClellan who could add to the sack total.

I know the popular beleif is that we lost Suggs so we can't possible be as good at getting after the QB without him, I just don't fall in line with that. I think without Suggs, you won't see RBs chipping as much, you take JJ off the field and add better pass rushers, and I feel our pass defense will be much stronger, which will force QBs to hold the ball.

We might not hit 50, but I don't think we'll be far off our mark of 48 from last season. I think that's very much realistic, I'm not much of a small thinker.
[/quote]
Let's see, guys who should get more sacks this year:
Kruger - will get significantly more snaps. Probably fewer sacks per snap but more overall
Ngata - production went down drastically after that weird leg injury he played through
Kindle - hasn't had any, looked 10x better so far in camp
Cody - in better shape. Probably won't have many but didn't have any last year
Chavis Williams - 0 last year, will probably be 3rd down specialist along with Kindle
Art Jones - now in a starting role after 0 last year
Upshaw - 0 last year for not being on the team
Webb - Having a 3rd corner step up (Smith) could get Webb more time in the slot, where he excels at rushing the passer

We lose Redding, JJ, and Suggs who combined for 21 sacks. McPhee is a wash because he is supposed to add more weight to help his run defense, and he might be a backup this year. If McPhee starts, we have 2 much better starting pass rushers than last year and 1 worse (assuming Upshaw doesn't get to 14).

Ultimately a big part of this is the change at D-coordinator. Pagano got us plenty of pressure when Ngata and Suggs were healthiest, but he was a young coach and a secondary coach at that. I assume Pees is more experienced when dealing with front-7 formations. I don't think Pagano was great at coming up with schemes once the initial one failed.
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[quote name='hawkprey' timestamp='1344050999' post='1109783']
Let's see, guys who should get more sacks this year:
Kruger - will get significantly more snaps. Probably fewer sacks per snap but more overall
Ngata - production went down drastically after that weird leg injury he played through
Kindle - hasn't had any, looked 10x better so far in camp
Cody - in better shape. Probably won't have many but didn't have any last year
Chavis Williams - 0 last year, will probably be 3rd down specialist along with Kindle
Art Jones - now in a starting role after 0 last year
Upshaw - 0 last year for not being on the team
Webb - Having a 3rd corner step up (Smith) could get Webb more time in the slot, where he excels at rushing the passer

We lose Redding, JJ, and Suggs who combined for 21 sacks. McPhee is a wash because he is supposed to add more weight to help his run defense, and he might be a backup this year. If McPhee starts, we have 2 much better starting pass rushers than last year and 1 worse (assuming Upshaw doesn't get to 14).

Ultimately a big part of this is the change at D-coordinator. Pagano got us plenty of pressure when Ngata and Suggs were healthiest, but he was a young coach and a secondary coach at that. I assume Pees is more experienced when dealing with front-7 formations.[b] I don't think Pagano was great at coming up with schemes once the initial one failed.[/b]
[/quote]

People always say that Cam sucks at in game adjustments, but so did Pagano. The difference is Pagano's defense had enough talent to cover it up, so it wasn't always an issue. The Titans game, San Diego game, and the Patriots game (to a lesser extent than the others) come to mind.
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I know this is about the Ravens but I'll make a bold prediction for the Steelers. Now I want you to know, that this is not a biased prediction, this is just a bold prediction that is neutral. Looking at the Pittsburgh Steelers Schedule, heading into Week 3 of the Regular Season the Pittsburgh Steelers will be 0-2 after losing back to back to the Denver Mannings and the New York Sanbows(thank you to the poster who came up with that name).

As far as the Ravens, Joe Flacco and the offense lights up against the Bengals on Monday Night Football and Joe throws for over 350+ yards, 4 TDs. 2 of those TDs will be to Torrey while the others are to Boldin and Rice.
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[quote name='hawkprey' timestamp='1344050999' post='1109783']
Let's see, guys who should get more sacks this year:
Kruger - will get significantly more snaps. Probably fewer sacks per snap but more overall
Ngata - production went down drastically after that weird leg injury he played through
Kindle - hasn't had any, looked 10x better so far in camp
Cody - in better shape. Probably won't have many but didn't have any last year
Chavis Williams - 0 last year, will probably be 3rd down specialist along with Kindle
Art Jones - now in a starting role after 0 last year
Upshaw - 0 last year for not being on the team
Webb - Having a 3rd corner step up (Smith) could get Webb more time in the slot, where he excels at rushing the passer

We lose Redding, JJ, and Suggs who combined for 21 sacks. McPhee is a wash because he is supposed to add more weight to help his run defense, and he might be a backup this year. If McPhee starts, we have 2 much better starting pass rushers than last year and 1 worse (assuming Upshaw doesn't get to 14).

Ultimately a big part of this is the change at D-coordinator. Pagano got us plenty of pressure when Ngata and Suggs were healthiest, but he was a young coach and a secondary coach at that. I assume Pees is more experienced when dealing with front-7 formations. I don't think Pagano was great at coming up with schemes once the initial one failed.
[/quote]

Pees first 2 years as Pats DC, his defense produced 41 and 47 sacks. I know they played a 3-4, but I can't remember if they did a lot of blitzing. But with Mike Vrebal as their top pass rusher, I think it says alot about how Pees, gets all his guys involved in the pass rush department.
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[quote name='The Raven' timestamp='1344051338' post='1109785']
People always say that Cam sucks at in game adjustments, but so did Pagano. The difference is Pagano's defense had enough talent to cover it up, so it wasn't always an issue. The Titans game, San Diego game, and the Patriots game (to a lesser extent than the others) come to mind.
[/quote]

Pees definitely has the experience, and coaching under Bellichick should only help I think.
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[quote name='Ravensfan23' timestamp='1344031215' post='1109597']


Ok, never have been sure of how the QB Rating worked. I just throw a number out there based on his 2010 number QBR of 93.6 and just expected him to improve that number.

I agree Flacco will not attempt that many passes. I have his full stat line looking like this.......

363/550 66% 4,320yds 35TDs 9Ints 7.8 avg. What would that make his QB Rating then?
[/quote]

That works out to a 104.2 rating.

For the record, here is my prediction:

336/511, 4082 yards, 26 td, 11 int
65.8%, 7.99 yards per attempt, 98.2 rating
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