Br.com You Pick 'em (Week 3)

[Reddawn36]

[quote name='thewarden86' date='24 September 2009 - 09:32 PM' timestamp='1253842348' post='240940']
Anything is possible: "Any given Sunday" and all that but the day I PICK the Steelers to lose to the Bengals, I may as well just burn my terrible towel and all my jerseys. [img]http://boards.baltimoreravens.com/public/style_emoticons/default/wink.gif[/img]
[/quote]

well than, you should get on that.... stat

[thewarden86]

[quote name='Reddawn36' date='24 September 2009 - 09:45 PM' timestamp='1253843123' post='240947']
well than, you should get on that.... stat
[/quote]

Okay, but make sure you pick the Bengals in both your match-ups. [img]http://boards.baltimoreravens.com/public/style_emoticons/default/tongue.gif[/img]

[Reddawn36]

[quote name='thewarden86' date='24 September 2009 - 09:47 PM' timestamp='1253843245' post='240951']
Okay, but make sure you pick the Bengals in both your match-ups. [img]http://boards.baltimoreravens.com/public/style_emoticons/default/tongue.gif[/img]
[/quote]
okay, so its agreed, we both pick them to beat the steelers... both times

[thewarden86]

[quote name='Reddawn36' date='24 September 2009 - 09:48 PM' timestamp='1253843324' post='240952']
okay, so its agreed, we both pick them to beat the steelers... both times
[/quote]


*sigh*

No. I'll get an easel and draw you a picture of what I mean. [img]http://boards.baltimoreravens.com/public/style_emoticons/default/dry.gif[/img]

[img]http://boards.baltimoreravens.com/public/style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif[/img]

[Reddawn36]

[quote name='thewarden86' date='24 September 2009 - 09:54 PM' timestamp='1253843680' post='240958']
*sigh*

No. I'll get an easel and draw you a picture of what I mean. [img]http://boards.baltimoreravens.com/public/style_emoticons/default/dry.gif[/img]

[img]http://boards.baltimoreravens.com/public/style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif[/img]
[/quote]


don't mean to post in all caps but....


DO IT

[thewarden86]

[quote name='Reddawn36' date='24 September 2009 - 09:56 PM' timestamp='1253843769' post='240961']

[b][size="7"]DO IT[/size][/b]
[/quote]


[img]http://163.13.175.44/html/2008_1st/team09/nike-logo.png[/img]

[Reddawn36]

[quote name='Reddawn36' date='22 September 2009 - 03:53 PM' timestamp='1253649201' post='239943']
My week three picks are as follows:
Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles: [b]Philadelphia[/b]
Tennessee Titans at New York Jets: [b]New York[/b]
Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams: [b]Green Bay[/b]
San Fransisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings: [b]Minnesota[/b]
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: [b]Baltimore[/b]
New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: [b]New York[/b]
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: [b]Houston[/b]
Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots: [b]Atlanta[/b]
Washington Redskins at Detroit Lions: [b]Washington[/b]
Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks: [b]Chicago[/b]
New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills: [b]New Orleans[/b]
Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers: [b]San Diego[/b]
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals: [b]Cincinnati[/b]
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders: [b]Denver[/b]
Indianapolis Colts at Arizona Cardinals: [b]Arizona[/b]
Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys: [b]Dallas[/b]

*I may change some picks as the week drags on, just a heads up
[b]Edit 1: changed Pittsburgh to Cincy by request of warden[/b]
[/quote]


[quote name='thewarden86' date='24 September 2009 - 10:06 PM' timestamp='1253844387' post='240967']
[img]http://163.13.175.44/html/2008_1st/team09/nike-logo.png[/img]
[/quote]
did it.. your turn

[thewarden86]

[quote name='Reddawn36' date='24 September 2009 - 10:08 PM' timestamp='1253844525' post='240971']
did it.. your turn
[/quote]


You have an idea that I'm going to actually change my pick? Ain't happenin'

I said that the day I pick the Bengals over the Steelers I may as well burn my stuff. Neither is happening Homie.

[Reddawn36]

[quote name='thewarden86' date='24 September 2009 - 10:19 PM' timestamp='1253845140' post='240986']
You have an idea that I'm going to actually change my pick? Ain't happenin'

I said that the day I pick the Bengals over the Steelers I may as well burn my stuff. Neither is happening Homie.
[/quote]

nono you got it wrong, double positives are allowed in sentences... double negatives aren't allowed though... so you picking the steelers to lose, and burning the moth bait is a double positive

[thewarden86]

[quote name='Reddawn36' date='24 September 2009 - 10:22 PM' timestamp='1253845377' post='240991']
nono you got it wrong, double positives are allowed in sentences... double negatives aren't allowed though... so you picking the steelers to lose, and burning the moth bait is a double positive [img]http://boards.baltimoreravens.com/public/style_emoticons/default/smile.gif[/img]
[/quote]


If I broke a silly rule of yours, then I sincerely appologize. That said, here is a fact: I will NOT pick the Bengals to beat the Steelers.....EVER.
Steelers are 1-1 and lost because our kicker had a bad day (so did Santo but whatever). I have all the faith and confidence in their ability to beat the Bengals this Sunday.

[darklight1216]

[quote name='thewarden86' date='24 September 2009 - 10:35 PM' timestamp='1253846150' post='241002']
If I broke a silly rule of yours, then I sincerely appologize. That said, here is a fact: I will NOT pick the Bengals to beat the Steelers.....EVER.
Steelers are 1-1 and lost because our kicker had a bad day (so did Santo but whatever). I have all the faith and confidence in their ability to beat the Bengals this Sunday.
[/quote]
But, but, but Carson Palmer is healthy!

[AwakenTheDemon]

[quote name='Man Crush on Flacco' date='24 September 2009 - 07:43 PM' timestamp='1253839380' post='240899']
What time is the official deadline? I have a feeling I'll be changing these picks alot.
[/quote]

I usually state the deadline as "saturday night", however, I do not enter and tally picks until I wake up on sunday. So you have until 11am EST to make and change your picks.

[jfc13]

[quote name='PuRock' date='24 September 2009 - 05:10 PM' timestamp='1253826622' post='240828']
Ahhh. I see you are braving the waters and going against the grain with the Seahawks. Your the only other person who hasn't jumped on the Bears Bandwagon.

Grant it the Seahawks have a lot of injuries and might be out Hassleback. But hasn't Seneca Wallace proven that he's more than capable of winning at home? And I like his scrambling capabilites with a hobbling OL.

Since everbody is picking the Bears - I feel it only right to to have faith in the Seahawks.
[/quote]
It's probably just because I don't know what I'm doing. But until proven otherwise, I'm figuring the Bears win over the Steelers last Sunday was one of those "any given Sunday" things. They usually don't come this early in the season [based on my extensive research of a general feeling I have], because I think the "upset" team probably lets their guard down, and that would happen more in the 3rd quarter of the season, after the team has established their position in the standing and before the push for the playoffs. But then, maybe the Steelers reached the "establishing their position" phase early since they are the returning Superbowl champs.

[quote name='AwakenTheDemon' date='25 September 2009 - 04:00 AM' timestamp='1253865630' post='241078']
I usually state the deadline as "saturday night", however, I do not enter and tally picks until I wake up on sunday. So you have until 11am EST to make and change your picks.
[/quote]
What if you wake up earlier?


Based on my unofficial and probably-not-reliable stroke tally, only the following teams have been picked by everyone to win [and if someone changed their entry after I tallied, I didn't change it here]:
Green Bay Packers
Baltimore Ravens
New York Giants
Houston Texans
San Diego Chargers
Dallas Cowboys

[Reddawn36]

[quote name='thewarden86' date='24 September 2009 - 10:35 PM' timestamp='1253846150' post='241002']
If I broke a silly rule of yours, then I sincerely appologize. That said, here is a fact: I will NOT pick the Bengals to beat the Steelers.....EVER.
Steelers are 1-1 and lost because our kicker had a bad day (so did Santo but whatever). I have all the faith and confidence in their ability to beat the Bengals this Sunday.
[/quote]
lol, I'm just screwin with ya, but believe it or not I was happy and mad that their kicker had a bad day... happy cause im a ravens fan... mad cause he WAS on my main fantasy football team

[quote name='darklight1216' date='24 September 2009 - 10:37 PM' timestamp='1253846247' post='241005']
But, but, but Carson Palmer is healthy!
[/quote]

my thoughts exactly lol

[Bosanac]

is it too late to join this?

[jfc13]

Nope, you'll just be a week behind [we didn't start until week 2], but I think a few others are, too. Welcome to the insanity!

[PuRock]

[quote name='Bosanac' date='25 September 2009 - 09:26 AM' timestamp='1253885219' post='241123']
is it too late to join this?
[/quote]

The more the merrier. We are planning on working on something to help late applicants.

Just copy and paste the template of matchups.

[thewarden86]

Demon, Just a heads up: I changed my Titans/Jets pick to Titans.

[Bosanac]

alrighty then

Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles: Eagles
Tennessee Titans at New York Jets: Jets
Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams: Packers
San Fransisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings: 49ers
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: Ravens
New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Giants
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: Texans
Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots: Patriots
Washington Redskins at Detroit Lions: Redskins
Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks: Bears
New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills: Saints
Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers: Chargers
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals: Stoolers
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders: Broncos
Indianapolis Colts at Arizona Cardinals: Colts
Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys: Panthers

;p

[darklight1216]

Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles: [b]Philadelphia[/b]
Tennessee Titans at New York Jets: [b]Tennessee[/b]
Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams: [b]Green Bay[/b]
San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings: [b]San Francisco[/b]
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: [b]Baltimore[/b]
New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: [b]New York[/b]
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: [b]Houston[/b]
Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots: [b]New England[/b]
Washington Redskins at Detroit Lions: [b]Washington[/b]
Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks: [b]Seattle[/b]*
New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills: [b]New Orleans[/b]
Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers: [b]San Diego[/b]*
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals: [b]Pittsburgh[/b]
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders: [b]Denver[/b]
Indianapolis Colts at Arizona Cardinals: [b]Indianapolis[/b]
Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys: [b]Dallas[/b]

*Subject to change.

[flynismo]

Sorry for being late to the party, just found this thread...


Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles: [b]Philadelphia[/b]
Tennessee Titans at New York Jets: [b]Tennessee[/b]
Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams: [b]Green Bay[/b]
San Fransisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings: [b]Minnesota[/b]
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: [b]Baltimore[/b]
New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: [b]New York[/b]
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: [b]Houston[/b]
Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots: [b]New England[/b]
Washington Redskins at Detroit Lions: [b]Detroit[/b]
Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks: [b]Chicago[/b]
New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills: [b]New Orleans[/b]
Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers: [b]San Diego[/b]
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals: [b]Pittsburgh[/b]
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders: [b]Denver[/b]
Indianapolis Colts at Arizona Cardinals: [b]Arizona[/b]
Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys: [b]Dallas[/b]

[flynismo]

Am I the only one to pick Detroit??
C'mon guys, it's the 4skins!

[flynismo]

[quote name='thewarden86' date='24 September 2009 - 07:09 PM' timestamp='1253833750' post='240865']
[font="Times New Roman"] [u]Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles:[/u] [b]Chiefs[/b]
[u]Tennessee Titans at New York Jets: [/u][b][u]Titans[/u]
[/b] Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams: [b]Packers[/b]
San Fransisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings: [b]49ers[/b]
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: [b]Ravens[/b]
New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: [b]Giants[/b]
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: [b]Texans[/b]
Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots: [b]Falcons[/b]
[b]*[/b]Washington Redskins at Detroit Lions: [b]Lions[/b]
Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks: [b]Bears[/b]
New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills: [b]Saints[/b]
Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers: [b]Chargers[/b]
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals: [b]Steelers[/b]
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders: [b]Raiders[/b]
Indianapolis Colts at Arizona Cardinals: [b]Cardinals[/b]
Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys: [b]Cowboys[/b][/font]



[b][font="Times New Roman"]* Upset special.[/font][/b]

UPDATE: I've changed one pick: Titans over the Jets.
[/quote]


I'm still on the fence with the KC/PHI game....taking PHI for now, may change that on Sunday (if the rules permit)

[AwakenTheDemon]

You can change your picks until 11am EST on sunday, since that is when I log and tally the picks. So even if you did change afterwards, they would not reflect in your record.

[Bigbell]

I need a bounce back week:
Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles:[b] Philly[/b]
Tennessee Titans at New York Jets: [b]Jets[/b]
Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams: [b]Green Bay[/b]
San Fransisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings: [b]Minnesota[/b]
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: [b]Baltimore[/b]
New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: [b]Giants[/b]
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: [b]Houston[/b]
Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots: [b]New England[/b]
Washington Redskins at Detroit Lions: [b]Skins[/b]
Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks: [b]Chicago[/b]
New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills: [b]New Orleans[/b]
Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers: [b]San Diego[/b]
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals: [b]Bengals[/b]
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders: [b]Denver[/b]
Indianapolis Colts at Arizona Cardinals:[b] Indianapolis[/b]
Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys: [b]Dallas[/b]

[Jamal]

Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles: Philadelphia
Tennessee Titans at New York Jets: Tennessee
Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams: Green Bay
San Fransisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings: Minnesota
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: Baltimore
New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: New York
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: Houston
Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots: New England
Washington Redskins at Detroit Lions: Washington
Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks: Chicago
New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills: New Orleans
Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers: San Diego
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals: Pittsburgh
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders: Denver
Indianapolis Colts at Arizona Cardinals: Arizona
Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys: Dallas

[YYZ66]

[quote name='YYZ66' date='24 September 2009 - 02:18 AM' timestamp='1253769485' post='240562']
Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles: Philadelphia
Tennessee Titans at New York Jets: New York
Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams: Green Bay
San Fransisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings: San Fran
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: Baltimore
New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: New York
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: Houston
Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots: Atlanta
Washington Redskins at Detroit Lions: Detroit
Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks: Chicago
New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills: New Orleans
Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers: San Diego
[b]Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals: Pittsburgh[/b]
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders: Denver
Indianapolis Colts at Arizona Cardinals: Arizona
Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys: Dallas

Still on the fence with Atl / NE and Pitt / Cincy
[/quote]

Changed to Pittsburgh. Just don't see them losing 2 in a row....

[flynismo]

So, what happens with those of us who joined late? Do we go by W-L % ?

[darklight1216]

[quote name='flynismo' date='26 September 2009 - 02:15 AM' timestamp='1253945753' post='241472']
Am I the only one to pick Detroit??
C'mon guys, it's the 4skins!
[/quote]
I'll tell you why I don't like Detroit in this game. It's all about the defense.

The 2007 Detroit Lions (you know, the ones that started this 19 game loss streak) were the first team in NFL history to allow quarterbacks to complete over 70 percent of their passes over the course of the season.

It could be worse though, right? Well in 2008, as we all know, it got worse. The 2008 Detroit Lions had the worst defensive passer rating in history, 110.8. (In comparison, the Baltimore lead the league with a dpr or about 60.6.)

Of course, the fact that their defense wasn't as good as Baltimore's is nothing to be ashamed of (and also painfully obvious). However, only five quarterbacks in NFL history have bested a 110.8 passer rating in a season, and four of them are named Brady, Manning, Montana and Young. In other words: Detroit's defense was so bad last year it made every quarterback it faced look like a Hall of Famer at the very height of their powers.
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/writers/kerry_byrne/09/23/lions/index.html?eref=T1

I know the automatic response is "Passer rating is sooo overrated" so here's another fun fact.
The 2008 Lions had four interceptions. Now when you compare that Ed Reed's 9 interceptions, the Lions seem pretty terrible, but it gets worse. The last team to have four or fewer interceptions were the 1934 St. Louis Cardinals, and they played only 3 games.

But this is the Not For Long league, right? Things can easily change, but...
In their first two games, the 2009 Detriot Lions have a defensive passer rating of 134.9 and they have allowed their opponents to complete 80% of their passes.

In short:
The Lions defense went from bad (2007) to worse (2008) and looks even worse in 2009. They have coupled their embarrassing defense with an offense led by a rookie quarterback.

Now they are going to face the Washington Redskins. A team which was top five in total defense last year, and has allowed just 30 points so far this year.

This is why I don't have confidence in the Lions odds of winning tomorrow. That and I like the Redskins, so maybe there's a little bias in the mix too.

Then again, only the Rams have scored fewer points than the Redskins, so maybe they have a chance,
As they say "To each his own."

[flynismo]

[quote name='darklight1216' date='26 September 2009 - 10:09 PM' timestamp='1254017368' post='241736']
I'll tell you why I don't like Detroit in this game. It's all about the defense.

The 2007 Detroit Lions (you know, the ones that started this 19 game loss streak) were the first team in NFL history to allow quarterbacks to complete over 70 percent of their passes over the course of the season.

It could be worse though, right? Well in 2008, as we all know, it got worse. The 2008 Detroit Lions had the worst defensive passer rating in history, 110.8. (In comparison, the Baltimore lead the league with a dpr or about 60.6.)

Of course, the fact that their defense wasn't as good as Baltimore's is nothing to be ashamed of (and also painfully obvious). However, only five quarterbacks in NFL history have bested a 110.8 passer rating in a season, and four of them are named Brady, Manning, Montana and Young. In other words: Detroit's defense was so bad last year it made every quarterback it faced look like a Hall of Famer at the very height of their powers.
[url="http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/writers/kerry_byrne/09/23/lions/index.html?eref=T1"]http://sportsillustr...ex.html?eref=T1[/url]

I know the automatic response is "Passer rating is sooo overrated" so here's another fun fact.
The 2008 Lions had four interceptions. Now when you compare that Ed Reed's 9 interceptions, the Lions seem pretty terrible, but it gets worse. The last team to have four or fewer interceptions were the 1934 St. Louis Cardinals, and they played only 3 games.

But this is the Not For Long league, right? Things can easily change, but...
In their first two games, the 2009 Detriot Lions have a defensive passer rating of 134.9 and they have allowed their opponents to complete 80% of their passes.

In short:
The Lions defense went from bad (2007) to worse (2008) and looks even worse in 2009. They have coupled their embarrassing defense with an offense led by a rookie quarterback.

Now they are going to face the Washington Redskins. A team which was top five in total defense last year, and has allowed just 30 points so far this year.

This is why I don't have confidence in the Lions odds of winning tomorrow. That and I like the Redskins, so maybe there's a little bias in the mix too.

Then again, only the Rams have scored fewer points than the Redskins, so maybe they have a chance,
As they say "To each his own."
[/quote]

Well then, good thing it is 2009! New hotshot QB to throw bombs to Megatron while Carlos Rogers looks on helplessly, new stud TE to lay Andre Carter's overpaid butt out, and speaking of Detroit's defense....I like their new additions of Julian Peterson, Anthony Henry and Louis Delmas. This defense will gain a little respectability against an awful 4skins offense this week.

I'm going to say....20-17, Detroit.