I was wondering about this idea about Tampa Bay as well because their fate seemed to be tied to the Detroit Lions and it does seem silly that a fate of an NFC team would rely on the AFC team games. It must all be buried in the NFL rules for tie breaking which appear here: http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakingprocedures Now since the Lions and the Bucs are not in the same division, the break down goes like this: 1) Head to head games: They never played each other. 2) Best W-L-T% inside conference: They were both 7-5 in conference 3) Best W-L-T% in common games (games against same opponent): Oddly enough, they were both 2-3 against common opponents. 4) Strength of victory 5) Strength of Schedule. I would assume it somehow comes down to these two factors because the rest of the tie breakers deal with points scored and such, which should have nothing to with whether other teams won or lost. Now, the Bucs went 2-2 in non conference play: They beat the Chiefs (12-4), and the Chargers (5-11), but lost to Broncos (9-7), and the Raiders (12-4). The Lions also went 2-2 in non conference play: They beat the Colts (8-8), and the Jags (3-13), but lost to the Titans (9-7), and the Texans (9-7). It all must have to do with number 5 and I don't feel like looking up combined records of opponents. The one glaring thing I see sticking out is the Bucs losing to the Rams, a team the Lions also played and beat.