Sizzlebshu

Yes and No for this. While I agree TD upside is volatile, there are some players who are just exceptions to this for whatever reason. Dez, Odell Beckham, Adrian Peterson, and Rob Gronkowski are just a few names of players who have such a solid and predictable TD floor. A-Rob may potentially be in that group although there isn't enough data to confirm this. Dez getting volume is a myth btw. During the 2014 seasons (which is the closest statistical season we have to what we expect this coming season), Dez had, iirc, 145 targets (maybe less). In comparison, Brandon Marshall had 173 this year, Demaryius Thomas 176, Julio and Antionio Brown eclipsed and got close to 200 respectively, ODB had 159. Due to the nature of his offensive, Dez gets relatively low volume, but gets by on being remarkably efficient and, of course, consistently scoring way above league average in touchdowns (16 that season).

To give you an example to clarify the question: Brandon Marshall could conceivably finish with 110/1200/8 In order for Dez to match he would need 86/1200/12 (roughly his floor given his last 3 healthy seasons so this is doable). Marshall will probably give you a higher floor every week since he will have an extra 2 pts in ppr league over Dez (seven receptions per week for Marshall vs 5 for Dez), however, Dez will probably win you more weeks given that he will provide you with an extra TD and an extremely good chance of hitting multiple TDs. Now imagine your draft goes something like Dez (12 TDs minimum), Allen Robinson (10 TDs), Some other receiver (8 TDs), Jordan Reed 10 TDs. Given that 3 of those guys are proven elite TD scorers (Dez, Allen, Reed), they will likely provide you with multiple touchdowns for that given week and even in the rare weeks they do not provide you with a TD, drafting multiple receivers with this skill can help to balance that out. Given how teams that score more TDs generally do better than those that do not, you can see why this is a viable strategy especially during playoffs. While you may forgo taking a guy that can have 8-10 catches during a game, if youre drafting at the back half of a draft, you likely aren't getting one of the elite options (brown, julio, beckham) and are hoping that guys like Keenan Allen and Brandon Marshall overachieve their ADP and return top 5 value.

Im not sure if you mean wr6 or adp 6 in the above i tend to use fantasyfootball calculator adp where dez/allen tend to be back of the first early second guys while marshall and keenan are second rounders. I feel this is a bit more accurate than mfl

So while practicing the later positions in ppr mocks, i have found that i often find myself with the following options while running zero rb allen robinson/dez bryant brandon marshall/keenan allen While marshall had top 5 upside and will probably return first round value, allen's range of outcomes is slightly wider given that his pace last yr was unsustainable. He still probably returns first round value, but its worth noting that 30 receptions came in two games. Given increased reception totals correlate with increased yarage totals and are more predictable than tds, these two seem to have a safer floor despite being taken later in drafts On the other side of things, touchdowns are a terrible stat to forcast. However some players such as Dez bryant and Rob Gronkowski are what are known as elite touchdown scorers. Given that fantasy football is a weekly game played over a season, drafting and hittingbon enough of these players can be amazingly potent Dez has averaged at least 88 receptions 1200 yds and 12 tds in his last 3 healthy seasons. Despite his production in 2014, peripherals like pass attempts suggest bryant will need to be remarkably efficient especially in the red zone given the low volume Arobs tds will likely regress as neither nor his offense were remarkably efficient. However arob was efficient in the red Zone on an absurd 18 targets within the 10 ( a number that should regress by about 8 targets if averages hold). However, arob may still a high td total and has shown himself to be a strong receiver. He may not score 14 tds, but 10-12 qith 1200 yards and 90 receptions may be doable. sp my question is which pair would you rather have and which stratefy would you rather adopt? Would you rather try to hit on increased rexeption torals realizing that matching the likes pf julio/brown will be pretty much impossible or would you rather take receivers who may not have elite reception upside but will compensate by scoring more tds and by taking enough of those players, you may also balance out and accumulate a higher number of total tds and create more week and league winning scenarios

Replace me

Ppl complain when i play the game to help it fill and im tired of it. I couldve been a jerk and never informed you of my quitting so you all had to wait

I made it clear to replace me awhile ago.

The Colts chose him over Fleener because he can block and Fleener can't. For receiving purposes, they'd rather roll with Hilton, Colt's WR3, Moncrief.

1. I don't make a board. I literally only pay attention to this probably when I am up or I notice some idiot make a comment in the 30 seconds i scroll through 2. Idc what every other player has done. If irks you that much, piece it together and make a post. It doesnt bother me at all 3. Cool replace me 4. Don't really care if ppl evaluate my team or use it to figure out where im going.

I was asked to play the game out because playing with a full deck is better and more realistic than playing with ppl quitting halfway through and/or not playing with a full deck. For the losers that quit, it ruins the game somewhat because it provides an inherent advantage to player picking around those spots. I never brought up the game was hard for me. Im just sick of ppl crying over me not making a pick when I made it very clear that I signed up to be a body and nothing more. Seriously what did you expect? To me quitting or not makes 0 difference. I make time to make picks and find that fun for myself. I don't find posting a roster to be anything more than cosmetic. What difference does it make whether I do it now or at the end of the draft or never at all?

What point of I literally joined this to be a 32nd body was unclear? Seriously I have said this since the start of the game. Do I literally have to post the PM from Crush for you guys to get it? Edit: here it is: http://imgur.com/LDlzru8 Unlike those ppl you have mentioned, I have made all my picks and kept my participation to reasonably and sufficiently active levels. I'm not one of those ppl that joins a game, then ruins it by quitting halfway through. Note that this is even tho, I didn't even originally want to sign up and I still have found time to get it done compared to the ppl that quit cause they got bored with it. I'm given 12 hrs to make a pick. I made the pick in 12 hrs. Ppl shouldn't complain whether I make it in 1 min or 11 hrs and 59 mins. I make it when it is most convenient for me. I am not going out of my way any more than I already have to play this game.

Apparently its within 3. Guessing you were too cool to pay attention in math

Im on the east coast btw so its the 1230-1am side of things

just got home. Have work in the am. Want to sleep. Decided to check the boards and saw a bunch of little girls crying about how i havent made my pick

Chris Jones DL

Its friday night. Get a life losers

Or unlike some of the other board members, i have any and all of the following that take precedent over a game i didnt want to join in the first friends family girlfriend pets tv showes Other forums

Kinds sucks for the person picking after me. I'd sure hate to be him!!!!

If you're going to make a joke, make it a good one. Im taking 11 hrs 59 mins to make my next pick to punish this guy. So yeah if i get up, expect a wait.

Depends on what type of scheme you run. If its power blocking, i think white hair is going ot have some issues. If its zone, he will probably be fine.

Michael Harris

sup checking the board

Contact less, pad less practice against someone arguably half his size. Makes sense.

Some of us have lives. It should be quiet on a message board, during the offseason, on a friday night.