jravens13

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Everything posted by jravens13

  1. I agree with the potential trade back. However, I strongly thing that a.) Buckner will be gone at #6, and b.) Ozzie won't pick Bosa even if he's still on the board at #6 (which more and more mocks project will be the case). Why? Ozzie and the Ravens scouting team has a great track record identifying capable pass rushers that are still available on day#2. Three names: JJ, McPhee, Za'Darius Smith. All three were day#2 picks. And there will be promising pass rusher talent on day#2. Therefore, I think Ozzie won't go for a pass rusher with his top picks. And, since retaining Shareece Wright means we have our starting CB tandem, the most logical and safest bet for #6 seems to be Ronnie Stanley - as I'm positive KO will be gone the first day of free agency - meaning that although we have Urschel and probably Jensen, a top talent at G would be a logical pick. Or a trade down. And, as a trademark Ozzie-move, drafting our next great pass rusher in the 4th round, with one of the picks acquired in the trade I wouldn't bank on Wright being the locked in starter. He played mediocre at best last year. We played some really bad QB's when he started getting playing time and he wasn't overwhelming. He is an upgrade to Arrington who can't cover anyone anymore. BTW Wright's resume is not great, but he did play better in 2015 than he had previously. https://www.profootballfocus.com/blog/2014/05/13/best-fantasy-cb-matchups/ https://www.profootballfocus.com/blog/2015/02/13/sig-stats-ypcs-cornerbacks/ His contract: 3YR $16M.
  2. I believe Suggs wife filed for divorce last year over allegations of infidelity. I am less concerned about his personal life and more concerned about if he will come into camp in shape to play. Suggs has a history of playing his way into football shape during camp. With his injury and age I worry those days are behind him and he needs to be working out now or we will be spending the season talking about if this is his last year. Suggs is in his 14th Season. He knows exactly what he needs to do to get ready for the season. He has been arguably our best player for the last 10 years and I still don't see anyone on this roster that makes more of an impact than Suggs on Sundays.
  3. Breshad Perriman has all the tools to be a dominant NFL WR. The real question is whether or not he wants it. And that is for him to prove to everyone.
  4. Suggs is the leader of this defense. His 7.5M cap hit is a bargain compared to what he brings to the table. Pitta was a mistake. No one would have ever thought Rice would do what he did and that the media storm would force him out of the league. Ozzie, DeCosta, Hortiz are as good as it gets. They have recently made some mistakes, but I would be willing to bet that they are learning from them as the league evolves. Think about how many years we have been drafting in the 20s-30s. We get to pick at the top of each round and this class is incredibly talented at positions we need. CB, ILB, DE, OT, OLB. I expect 3 Pro Bowlers to come out of this class.
  5. And how about those trophies? 2013: 8-8, 2014: 10-6 Divisional Round Exit, 2015: 5-11 It all comes down to taking more risk and banking on 2013-2015 vs. spreading things out evenly and having more flexibility. Notice how I said "Inflation Adjusted". We would be in an even better situation now had they done things right the first time.
  6. Myles Jack gives you so much versatility. He is an absolute freak athlete who can play everywhere on the field. He puts Jalen Ramsey to shame, and has much better tape. He is probably the best defensive player in the draft, but we all know pass rushers come at a premium. Right now it seems like BPA will work out because we have needs at OLB, CB, ILB, and OT: (Bosa, Hargreaves, Jack, and Stanley)
  7. How do you know that? He is shopping his deal and we cleared cap space to potentially bump our offer to keep him in Baltimore. Team's will not pay him as a top Tackle only playing 4 games at the position.
  8. I think 9M/Year is the magic number. I think teams are less likely to pay him as a Tackle, but consider his versatility as a bonus. He will get top guard money offers on the open market.
  9. There are also rumors we cut Chris Canty which will save us 2.1M against the cap.
  10. We reduced his cap figures for the next 3 years. AND the salary cap will increase over the next 6 years. This contract is competitive for a QB with a winning pedigree.
  11. That's how they should have structured the first deal after the SB. Inflation adjusted with cap increases. We can work with those numbers but they would be lower if we did things right the first time.
  12. I wonder if Arthur Brown gets one last chance to play, if Orr becomes the starter, or if we use the Draft/FA to Daryl's replacement. This is why the offseason is interesting. It just takes too long to develop...
  13. Just to be clear Tucker was 3-3 on game winning FG's this year. 52yd make in OT against PIT. 48yd make against STL with 57 sec left. 39 yd make against SD with 0:00 on the clock. #IceInHisVeins
  14. Please never reply to another one of my comments and I will do the same.
  15. Yeah, but the problem is... nobody cares about career numbers for kickers. The only thing that matters for kickers is how good have you recently been, since great kickers go from being great to being unemployed in a 1-2 year period. They're swapped out like children's toys anytime they become stale, and if you have a bad season, you immediately face competition from your job and are replaced. Age is entirely irrelevant with kickers, because frankly, older kickers are preferred to younger kickers. Unlike most positions, there's really no risk of injury and there's very little concern over aging standards, since the great kickers kick well into their 40s, which is largely unheard of at any other position. With a kicker... is it more relevant how good they were 8-10 years ago, or is it more important how good they've recently been? Obviously, the latter. So in that case, in the last four years (since Tucker has been in the league): Gostkowski: 91% FG pct, 86% 50+ yards Tucker: 88% FG pct, 60% 50+ yards For me, I don't really care what Gostkowski did back in 2006, because, well, it was 2006. If he sucked that bad, he wouldn't have been tenured for a decade in a league that throws away kickers annually. At the end of the day, I can make statistics say whatever I want them to say. By the way... may want to consider using percentages for your 50+ metrics, because saying "o he's made more 50 yarders" doesn't really mean anything. I would have expected him to make significantly more, considering he's attempted significantly more (a product of how more efficient one offense is over another). Gostkowski's only attempt 22 regular season 50+ yard FGs in 10 years, an average of about 2-3 a year. That's a GOOD thing, not a bad thing. Tucker had 10 attempts last season alone... NOT a good thing. The reason you use percentages? Because while Tucker's made more 50+ yarders than Gostkowski has in six less years, he's also MISSED more 50+ yard FGs than Gostkowski has in six less years. In fact, Justin missed more 50+ yarders in 2015 alone than Gostkowski has in TEN YEARS. How many of those Tucker misses came from 55+ before the half? Goskowski has only made one FG in his entire career of 55+. Tucker has the bigger leg so we attempt more reach kicks. Tucker is more accurate and has a stronger leg. He has never let us down in crunch time. End discussion.
  16. Tucker has a higher career FG percentage, Tucker has more FG's of 50+ and has played 6 less seasons. Tucker is 87% from 40-49yds to Goskowski's 79%. He has had a higher touchback percentage in 3 of his 4 years and has a stronger leg. Tucker is 6 years younger than Gostkowski. I can't even remember Tucker missing a kick where the game is on the line. Obviously Goskowski has had his share of clutch kicks, but Tucker is clearly better and is at a much earlier stage in his career.
  17. Tucker is both the best and the most clutch kicker in the league. There isn't even a valid argument of who is better.
  18. Webb took a pay cut last year and I think the FO thought it would be bad taste to ask him to take even less money this year. He will be a much better safety than corner if he can bulk up and hold up. Webb has good ball skills, but couldn't keep up with quick WR's after his knee surgeries. I think Kendrick Lewis is the odd man out if they get rid of anyone. We used a lot of 3 Safety looks last year and the league is moving towards that. They don't wan't to cut Webb because the 6M in dead money and only 4M in cap savings. Lewis carry 1M in dead money, but would also save us 1M in cap space.
  19. Call him Big Bonus Joe. Cue the Randy Moss - "straight cash homie"
  20. At last someone with an understanding of the trade value chart :D I don't think Ozzie would give up his third round pick for Ramsey in such a situation - but at least it would be a fair trade offer - we should even get DAL's one current low-round pick (6th round) and we would still be generous :) Ramsey is a project at corner, but has the athleticism to be good. However he is an impact player at Safety. His lateral movements and hips are not ideal for a shut down CB or a guy worth taking in the top 10. His straight line down hill speed is elite. I think he is a much better player playing safety, but he still never made that many plays. I just don't see him being any better than a guy like Antonio Cromartie, but with less ball skills at CB. At safety he can be a playmaker who flies to the ball. I just don't think a top safety is worth trading up for and taking No. 3 overall. I would much rather draft Karl Joseph in the 2nd Round.
  21. I think the two they have narrowed it down to is likely dependent on 2 QB's going in the top 5. Or KO not resigning with us. What if a QB needy team offers us the ranch for the No.6 pick to get in front of SF and take Goff? That might be the biggest question mark in this draft. I can't wait to see how this all plays out.
  22. My point is that we would have more room NOW. To make impact moves in Free Agency, and for the next 6 years. To retain the must keep guys. McPhee is the only guy we should have resigned at the right price, but it seems that didn't work out. We should not have paid Webb what we spent on him. We should not have paid Pitta even close to what we paid. Monroe was a bargain in terms of what you commit to a LT, but clearly Jacksonville knew he wasn't that great. If we didn't have Dumervil don't you think we would have drafted another pass rusher? Dumervil isn't even a 3 down player. SSR was a bargain at 3M a year and he would have made it on this team regardless. I like how you tell me my numbers were wrong. You are forgetting to include the option bonus which Flacco collects every year he comes back on the deal. Check spotrac again. You clearly don't get it. Internet arguments are so stupid.
  23. Well, in reality, it has nothing to do with how much Joe got paid, because Joe got paid very handsomely in the last three years ($62M of $120.6M in the last three years). Joe himself made $30M in year 1 (2013) of his deal and another $21M in year 2 (2014), so from an actual cash received standpoint, that deal is more front loaded than back loaded from Joe's perspective. It is from a salary cap perspective only that the deal was backloaded, which I agree was a mistake, but not for the reason you think it was. As it were, I definitely don't buy this notion of "pay him more and let other guys walk", because I really can't think of any player we kept and should have let walk because of Joe's deal. You do realize that the biggest knock on the FO has been letting TOO MANY players walk in the last three years as opposed to trying to keep the band together right? How quick you are to forget the "purge" of 2013, that started practically days after our SB victory. We pretty much took the entire defense from our SB run and took a butchers knife to it in a single offseason, and that was with Joe only carrying a roughly $7M cap number that season. Please provide me a list of the players that we kept that you think we should have cut by increasing Joe's cap number in the last three years. Not saying there aren't any, but I can't think of any significant one's off the top of my head. Flacco won't be overpaid for the next six years... his cap number and the amount he will get is going to be an accurate reflection of what is NOW the market value for said QBs. Take the hits as they come. If we can't retain guys that is just part of the business. You win through the draft and keeping core leaders together. Yanda, Flacco and Suggs were the only guys we had to retain since 2013. McPhee could be in that equation as well. The rest of were expendable. KO would be another, but it seems like the Flacco deal could get in the way. Don't handicap your future for what you can have today from a roster standpoint. It is the base salary that they backloaded for Flacco. What if they did: 1M, 9M, 9M, 23M, 25M, 25M What they should have done: 9M, 14M, 16M, 17M, 18M, 18M We reached for guys that screwed up our salary cap. When you miss on guys and backload the contract it only amplifies your mistakes: Pitta, Webb, Monroe, and (Flacco Backload) are all reasons why we are tight on the cap now. Rice falls off the books next year but that contract was much more appropriate. We have lost more talent than we gained through free agency yet we have less cap space because of some of these hindering contracts. We could be bringing in impact Free Agents if we were more disciplined fiscally.
  24. It is called gambling on the present and sacrificing the future. We could have paid Flacco more upfront and let other guys walk. We chose to keep a team together that wasn't good enough to get it done. Flacco is now going to be overpaid for the next 6 years because of this mistake.