I posted this before, but it illustrates the effect that Holman had on Perriman. This comes from a fantasy site, and while I don't particularly care for fantasy football, I find their player analyses to be pretty unbiased (definitely less so than fans suffering from confirmation bias because they wanted their team to pick someone else), since their main goal is to determine which players will produce numbers for fantasy players at the pro level: The data indicates that Breshad Perriman’s closest comparable is Kevin White, and Kevin White’s best comparable is Breshad Perriman. Furthermore, the variance between White and Perriman is the smallest variance between two comparable WRs in the 2015 draft class. According to abilities that we can actually measure, White and Perriman are doppelgängers. Why then do 100 out of 100 NFL draft analysts rate Kevin White ahead of Breshad Perriman? Industry groupthink – why draft Teddy Bridgewater when you can have Johnny Manziel?!?! Quarterback play. Justin Holman – while Clint Trickett was a top-40 college quarterback by every measure (67.1 completion percentage, 7.8 YPA, 67.8 Total QBR), Justin Holman fell outside the top-50 in all categories, and his 56.9 percent completion percentage, in particular, made it more challenging for Breshad Perriman to impress NFL talent evaluators and sport media draft analysts.How did Holman’s struggles specifically affect Breshad Perriman’s draft stock? An ineffective UCF offense meant fewer total plays, fewer red zone opportunities, and fewer total catches, leading to fewer opportunities for highlight reel-worthy plays, forcing Perriman to do more with less (see 20.9 YPR vs. 13.3 YPR). Just one less ball thrown to a location where Perriman could go up and make a spectacular acrobatic catch is one less opportunity for a film watching aficionado to “fall in love” with Perriman’s ability to “highpoint the football” and to “look the part” of a “true game changer.” Less accurate throws not only make big plays more challenging, every inaccurate pass, that is not converted into a catch, is an opportunity for a subjective film watcher to credit Breshad Perriman with a drop. Not surprisingly, he posted a 14-percent drop rate based on Pro Football Focus’ perception of each catch’s degree of difficulty. If Breshad Perriman and Kevin White traded jerseys and quarterbacks last season, Perriman would be a top-10 lock, and Kevin White would be the “late riser.” http://rotoviz.com/2015/04/rotoviz-round-table-breshad-perriman-edition/