hawkprey

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Everything posted by hawkprey

  1. It is sort of. He said he wasn't 100% earlier in training camp. He's still in the last phase of recovering from his foot injury.
  2. What he's saying is that points for/against is a better indicator of next year success than wins, based on historical data. Just because you don't understand it doesn't mean it's dumb.
  3. Thanks Joe, and thanks to all the Special Olympic participants that post in these forums.
  4. Boomer would say that. He's always been a bully.
  5. Rookies are always given a raw deal on the first depth chart. Imagine how much it would bother a vet if a rookie got his spot after 7 practices of marginal play. By the end of TC, Perriman will be #2 and Waller will probably be a roster bubble #7, unless someone gets injured. That's how I see it anyway.
  6. As long as he's not out for more than a few games, absolutely. As much as I like some of our other WRs, Perriman is just a freak athlete. He'll be the starter week 1 and be targeted often. I would also bet that he leads the league in yards per catch. My guess would be 1100 this regular season.
  7. With all the offseason talk about Campanaro not making the roster due to injuries, I guess Marlon and Perriman aren't gonna make the roster either.
  8. It's actually Jim Harbaugh this year. We like to rotate.
  9. I'm pretty sure Tyrod threw a pick 6 in his only non-garbage-time game for us.
  10. I would like to think our defense is pretty loaded. Especially with Jimmy, Arrington and Kendrick Lewis added to the secondary over last year. The starting offense has also rotated through a lot of backup receivers. Just for example, Jimmy picked off Flacco while defending Campanaro. Camp is probably our #5 WR and Jimmy is a top-5 CB. Advantage defense.
  11. I don't think you're reading that right. It says Offensive 1's AND Defensive 2's v. Def 1 and Off 2s. It sounds to me like the 1st team offense faced the 1st team defense, and same with the second team. In both contests, the defense won. Then again I wasn't there and I also don't know what you're quoting.
  12. By the same token, no one ever calls out Brady for a playing monumental flub of a game.
  13. Oh come on now, you don't like a good argument?
  14. Glad you asked. The sample variance is sum of the square of the difference between each measurement and the mean measurement, divided N-1. It says "the Patriots balls had very different PSIs from each other, compared to what you'd expect". The only real explanation is that something happened to certain individual balls (or all of them) that changed their PSI. Not what happened to them as a whole. They could've all been around 15 PSI or 6 PSI, that's not what this looks at.
  15. Oh, well in my last response to ThatTeamUHate, if you didn't see it, I did say there was only a 1% chance of going over .18 if "normal" is .12.
  16. I'm not sure that variance means what you think it means. Anything that happened to effect all Pats balls, including moisture, wouldn't affect the variance. .18 doesn't mean there's only .18 psi that is unexplained compared to the Colts balls. It means the Patriots balls differed by a degree of .18 from each other. Even assuming the generous .12 measurement of the Colts' is what we would expect, the probability that the Pats' balls had a variance of .18 or greater (by chance alone) is about 1%. It's too small of a sample size to be conclusive, and two officials reading gauges are hardly a scientific experiment, but it's just another thing we have to assume is a big coincidence if the Pats are indeed innocent.
  17. There is no "margin of error", just the control variance of the Colts' balls which was .12 and .015 - potentially under .02 for both if not for one outlier reading. I'm sure that in most cases, you would expect a variance that low, because why expect them to change so drastically? The only factors that would likely change the readings are: 1. How often the ball hit something. (If this is the case, Wilson needs some massive layoffs because their balls are extremely shoddy - for the Patriots side only, that is.) 2. The change in temperature as the balls started to warm indoors while you were testing them. (This is unlikely because the balls were tested in order and didn't show a pattern.)
  18. Deflating them all by .18 wouldn't change the variance. To get a variance of .18, you could deflate two balls significantly, deflate some and inflate others, or inflate two balls significantly, for example. I agree that the equipment manager probably didn't do any of that. So we're left with either: 1. the variance in pressure arose because they were all deflated by hand and not by the IGL alone. 2. random chance.
  19. Just to put my stamp on it for a sec, one thing no one's gone over yet is the variance of the football pressure readings. Everyone agrees that before the game, Brady requested the balls be set as close to 12.5 as possible, while the Colts balls were set to 13. Obviously, because of Brady's pickiness and the fact that there's a bound at 12.5 that cannot be crossed, you would expect the Patriots' balls to be more consistent in pressure by halftime. But based on my quick calculations of the halftime readings, the Patriots 12 balls had a higher variance than the Colts' 4 - which again, goes against logic. Fewer balls should mean higher variance. By both needles, the Pats' balls had a variance of .18 and .16 compared to the Colts .12 and .015 (thanks to one outlying reading of 12.95). The obvious solution to the riddle is the imperfect science of deflating footballs in a hurry. But then again, we could just assume that variance is a coincidence too.
  20. All I know is that every year, one team out of the cast of underdogs makes a playoff run that no one saw coming, and every year that team is us.
  21. Maybe if Brady's phone was softer he wouldn't have dropped it.
  22. He did get a big 3rd down conversion against the 49ers, and had a big play against the Texans in the Divisional round that year. As little contribution as that was, when it comes to worst Raven, I think the bar can be set even lower. Most disappointing? Maybe. But I don't think Sergio Kindle even played a snap on defense.
  23. It's also commonly known that when Odin Lloyd texted that he was with "NFL", he was actually referring to his buddy who has "No freaking life". It's just a coincidence that he also knows an NFL player. Hernandez would've also liked to give his phone to the police in one piece, but he just happened to drop it earlier that day. Aaron Hernandez was wrongly convicted. It's just more anti-Pats conspiracy.
  24. He's not listed on the big board google doc. When was he taken?